Uganda - Libya prediction 29 September 2026
Uganda
Libya
Congo DRUgandaCongo DRUgandaUgandaLibyaTunisiaUgandaUgandaNigeriaUgandaTanzaniaTunisiaUgandaUgandaGabonMoroccoUgandaAlgeriaUgandaBotswanaUgandaUgandaSomaliaUgandaMozambiqueUgandaGambiaUgandaGuineaUgandaLibyaLibyaBotswanaLiberiaLibyaLibyaNigerPalestineLibyaMauritiusLibyaLibyaCape VerdeLibyaSwazilandAngolaLibyaCameroonLibyaLibyaAngolaTogoLibyaBurkina FasoLibyaIndonesiaLibyaIndonesiaLibya- 45+2'EventA. Vula
UgandaLibya| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 |  Cote d'Ivoire | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 |  Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 |  Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 |  Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |  Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 26 |  Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 27 |  Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 28 |  Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |  Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 30 |  Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 31 |  Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 32 |  Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 |  Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 34 |  Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 35 |  Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 36 |  Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 37 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 38 |  Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 39 |  Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 40 |  Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 41 |  Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 42 |  South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 43 |  Lesotho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 44 |  Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 45 |  Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 46 |  Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 47 |  Central African Republic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 48 |  Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Uganda vs Libya Prediction (Sep 29)
The Uganda vs Libya prediction points to a tight African Cup of Nations clash on Sep 29 at 17:00. Bookmakers see Uganda as the favorite, with a win probability around 44%, while a draw is a very real possibility at 35%. Libya, despite their stubborn run of draws, holds a 21% chance of pulling off an upset.
Team Form
Uganda enter this match without a win in their last five outings. Their recent results show three draws and two defeats: a 1-1 draw away to Tunisia, a 3-1 home loss to Nigeria, a 1-1 home draw with Tanzania, a 1-3 away defeat to Tunisia, and a 0-0 friendly draw at home to Gabon. That's a pattern of struggleโonly two goals scored in those five games, while conceding seven.
Libya's form is all about draws. Five consecutive stalemates: 2-2 at home to Botswana, 2-2 away to Liberia, 0-0 at home to Niger, 0-0 away to Palestine, and 0-0 away to Mauritius. They haven't won but are incredibly hard to beat, keeping three clean sheets in that run and showing they can grind out results on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no previous head-to-head data between Uganda and Libya. This will be their first competitive meeting, leaving no historical pattern to lean on for predictions.
Win Probability: Uganda or Libya?
Based on the bookmaker odds, home advantage, and both teams' recent form, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Uganda has a 44% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Libya has a 21% chance. The odds imply a strong home bias, but Uganda's winless run and Libya's draw habit bump up the draw probability significantly. The match is likely to be low-scoring and cagey, making the draw a serious consideration.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers are pricing Uganda as the clear favorite: the best home win odds range from 1.91 to 2.08, the draw from 1.82 to 3.10, and an away Libya win between 4.15 and 4.75. For example, one bookie offers Uganda at 2.08, draw 3.08, and Libya at 4.57.
Our prediction: A draw looks the most likely outcome given Libya's five-game draw streak and Uganda's inability to win. The betting tips lean towards the double chance X2 (draw or Libya) or under 2.5 goals. But if you trust the odds, Uganda to win is not without a chance, especially at home. In any case, a low-scoring affair is expected.
Uganda vs Libya โ FAQ
- Who will win Uganda vs Libya?
- According to our win probability model, Uganda has a 44% chance, a draw stands at 35%, and Libya has a 21% chance. No team is overwhelmingly likely to win, and the draw is a strong possibility.
- What is the win probability for Uganda?
- Uganda has a 44% chance of winning based on bookmaker odds, home advantage, and recent form. However, they are winless in their last five matches, which lowers their clear-cut favorite status.
- When is the Uganda vs Libya match?
- The match takes place on Sep 29 at 17:00. It is part of the African Cup of Nations competition.
- What are the odds for Uganda vs Libya?
- Odds vary across bookmakers: Uganda win is offered between 1.91 and 2.08, a draw between 1.82 and 3.10, and a Libya win between 4.15 and 4.75. One example set is 2.08 (Uganda), 3.08 (draw), 4.57 (Libya).