Arba Minch Ketema Women - Lideta Sub City Women prediction 10 May 2026

The Lideta Sub City Women vs Arba Minch Ketema Women prediction looks ahead to the Premier League Women fixture on May 10, 2026. Based on head-to-head data and recent form, Lideta Sub City Women enter the contest as the favored side with a 50% win probability. The draw stands at 30%, while Arba Minch Ketema Women have a 20% chance of pulling off an upset.

Team Form

Lideta Sub City Women come into this match with a mixed set of results. In their last three outings, they drew 0-0 at home to Bahir Dar Ketema Women on May 08, lost 0-2 at home to Mechal Women on Apr 28, and played out a 2-2 away draw against Sheger Ketema Women on Apr 24. That form yields only two points from a possible nine, highlighting a lack of consistency despite showing some resilience on the road.

Arba Minch Ketema Women are struggling badly. Their most recent three matches before this fixture show a 0-0 away draw at Sidama Bunna Women on May 08, a 0-4 home loss to Sheger Ketema Women on May 03, and a 0-2 away defeat at Hawassa City Women on Apr 29. With no wins in that stretch and only one point collected, confidence will be very low entering a difficult away trip.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Lideta Sub City Women. In two previous meetings, Lideta Sub City Women have one win and one draw, remaining unbeaten. On Dec 17, 2025, Lideta claimed a 4-2 home victory in the Premier League Women. Earlier, on Jan 5, 2025, the sides played out a 0-0 draw at Arba Minch Ketema Women. The aggregate scoreline across these two games stands at 4-2 to Lideta Sub City Women, underlining their control over this fixture.

Win Probability: Lideta Sub City Women or Arba Minch Ketema Women?

Our calculated win probabilities are: Lideta Sub City Women 50%, draw 30%, Arba Minch Ketema Women 20%. This assessment is based on the head-to-head dominance (Lideta unbeaten in two games), the home advantage, and the current form gap. Although Lideta’s recent form is unspectacular, Arba Minch Ketema Women have been far worse, losing four of their last five matches and failing to score in four of their last five. The combination of home soil and historical superiority makes Lideta Sub City Women the likely winners, but the draw remains a realistic outcome given the host’s inconsistent home performances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available at the time of writing. Without betting market data, the statistical analysis becomes the main guide. The match prediction is a home win for Lideta Sub City Women, supported by the head-to-head advantage and the poor form of the visitors. However, expectations of a low-scoring affair are reasonable—both teams have struggled to find the net regularly, so a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 home victory fits the data profile. Bettors should consider the draw-no-bet market on Lideta Sub City Women if odds appear, given the safety it provides against a stalemate.