Liechtenstein - Lithuania prediction 24 September 2026
Liechtenstein
LithuaniaLiechtenstein
GibraltarAzerbaijanLiechtensteinMaltaLiechtensteinLiechtensteinLithuaniaLiechtensteinCyprusAndorraLiechtensteinArubaLiechtensteinTanzaniaLiechtensteinMontenegroLiechtensteinLiechtensteinScotlandLiechtensteinSan MarinoMaltaLiechtensteinLiechtensteinGibraltarLatviaLiechtensteinLiechtensteinFaroe IslandsAzerbaijanLithuaniaLithuaniaAndorraLithuaniaAzerbaijanLiechtensteinLithuaniaLithuaniaGeorgiaMoldovaLithuaniaLithuaniaIsraelDenmarkLithuaniaKosovoLithuaniaCyprusLithuaniaLithuaniaRomaniaLithuaniaKosovoLithuaniaGibraltarGibraltarLithuaniaCyprusLithuaniaLiechtensteinLithuania| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Prediction (Sep 24)
The Liechtenstein vs Lithuania prediction points to an away victory in this UEFA Nations League fixture on Sep 24 at 19:45. Bookmakers and recent form make Lithuania the favorite, with a calculated win probability of 55% based on odds and team analysis.
Team Form
Liechtenstein enter the match with a poor recent record: their last five results read L, L, L, W, L. The lone win came in a 1-0 away friendly against Tanzania on Mar 26, 2026. In home matches, they lost 0-2 to Cyprus on Jun 7, 2026. Defensively, they have conceded nine goals in those five outings, while scoring just two โ a pattern of low attacking output and vulnerability at the back.
Lithuaniaโs form is slightly better but inconsistent: L, W, D, L, L over their last five. They secured a 2-0 away win over Moldova (Mar 26, 2026) and a 0-0 home draw with Israel (Nov 13, 2025). However, defeats to Georgia (0-2), Denmark (0-5) and Kosovo (0-1) highlight struggles against stronger opposition. Overall, Lithuania have managed two clean sheets in those five games but failed to score in three โ a mixed picture.
Head-to-Head Record
There are no previous meetings between Liechtenstein and Lithuania. This will be the first H2H clash, offering no direct comparison for the prediction. The lack of history means form and odds carry even more weight in determining the likely outcome.
League Table Positions
The UEFA Nations League group stage has not yet started, so all teams sit on zero points with no matches played. Both Liechtenstein and Lithuania have an equal footing in the standings, with no positional advantage to factor into the win probability.
Win Probability: Liechtenstein or Lithuania?
Calculating win probability from the available odds, team form, and home/away factor gives the following percentages: Liechtenstein win โ 15%, draw โ 30%, Lithuania win โ 55%. The base derived from bookmaker odds (after removing the margin) implied Lithuania as a 52% favorite, but adjustments for Liechtensteinโs home advantage and recent fight in tight losses โ such as the 1-2 defeat to Montenegro โ slightly increase the away sideโs chances while still respecting a real draw threat. The head-to-head vacuum leaves form as the decider, and Lithuaniaโs marginally better results tip the scales.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers show a clear hierarchy: Lithuania are the favorites with odds as low as 1.60, while Liechtenstein can be backed at up to 13.50. The draw is priced between 2.25 and 5.35 across various books. These numbers underline the gulf in expected quality. Based on the stats, Lithuania are the more likely winner, but the high draw probability suggests a tight encounter. The final Liechtenstein vs Lithuania prediction is an away win, yet bettors should consider the draw as a serious alternative given both sidesโ low-scoring trends.
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania โ FAQ
- Who will win Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
- Lithuania are favored to win this UEFA Nations League match. Our calculated probabilities give Lithuania a 55% chance, a draw 30%, and Liechtenstein a 15% chance. These figures are based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the fact that this is the first ever meeting between the two teams.
- What is the win probability for Lithuania?
- Lithuania have a 55% chance of winning. This is driven by low bookmaker odds (around 1.60โ1.73) and Liechtensteinโs recent run of four losses in five games, while Lithuania managed a win and a draw in their last five.
- When is the Liechtenstein vs Lithuania match?
- The match takes place on Sep 24, 2026, at 19:45 local time (UTC+1). It is a UEFA Nations League fixture and will be played at the Rheinpark Stadion in Vaduz, a 7,584-capacity grass pitch.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds from leading bookmakers show a wide range: a Liechtenstein home win is available between 7.90 and 13.50, the draw between 2.25 and 5.35, and a Lithuania away win between 1.32 and 1.73. These prices reflect Lithuaniaโs clear favorite status.
- Have Liechtenstein and Lithuania played each other before?
- No, there are no head-to-head records between Liechtenstein and Lithuania. This will be the first official encounter, so recent form and odds provide the only basis for predictions.