Liechtenstein Women vs Gibraltar Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on October 10, 2026. The game kicks off at 15:00 local time, and bookmakers have installed Liechtenstein Women as the clear favorites. Based on our analysis, Liechtenstein Women have a 65% chance of winning, while Gibraltar Women sit at 18% and the draw at 17%.
Both teams enter this friendly in dismal form, having lost their last five matches each.
Liechtenstein Women have suffered five straight defeats, conceding 28 goals and scoring just 2 in that span. Their last five results: a 2-0 loss to Lithuania, a 5-0 home loss to Estonia, a 6-0 home loss to Bosnia-Herzegovina, a 2-1 away loss to Estonia, and a humiliating 13-1 defeat away to Bosnia-Herzegovina. Defensive frailties are evident, and they have struggled to create chances.
Gibraltar Women are also on a five-match losing streak, with an even worse goal difference: 1 goal scored and 26 conceded. Their recent results: an 8-0 home loss to Kosovo, a 3-1 away loss to Bulgaria, a 9-0 away loss to Croatia, a 1-0 home loss to Croatia, and a 5-0 home loss to Bulgaria. Like their opponents, they have been outclassed in World Cup qualifying.
These two nations have met five times previously, all in friendly matches. Liechtenstein Women hold a clear upper hand with 3 wins, while Gibraltar Women have won once and there has been 1 draw.
Liechtenstein have won three of the last four encounters, including both meetings in 2024 before the draw. The only Gibraltar victory came in November 2021. Historically, matches between these two have been relatively high-scoring, with both teams finding the net in four of the five games.
We calculate the win probabilities based on the latest odds, adjusted for team form and head-to-head record. The implied probabilities from the odds (1.42 home, 5.00 draw, 4.75 away) are 63.2% for a Liechtenstein win, 17.9% for a draw, and 18.9% for a Gibraltar win after removing the bookmaker margin. Given Liechtensteinโs home advantage and their historical dominance in this fixture (3 wins in 5), we slightly raise their chances. Both teams are in equally poor form, so no adjustment is needed there. The final probabilities are: Liechtenstein Women 65%, draw 17%, Gibraltar Women 18%. Liechtenstein Women are the more likely winners.
The best available odds for this Friendly International Women match are 1.42 for a Liechtenstein Women victory, 5.00 for the draw, and 4.75 for a Gibraltar Women win. These odds reflect the gulf in class perceived by bookmakers, despite both teamsโ recent struggles. Our prediction: Liechtenstein Women to win. The combination of home soil, a superior head-to-head record, and slightly better offensive output (2 goals in last 5 vs Gibraltarโs 1) tilts the balance. A low-scoring affair is possible, but Liechtenstein should have enough to secure the victory.