Ljungskile - Brage prediction 17 October 2026
Ljungskile
Brage
HelsingborgLjungskileLjungskileBrageOrebro SKLjungskileGIF SundsvallLjungskileLjungskileFalkenbergs FFLjungskileNorrby IFIFK NorrkopingLjungskileLjungskileVarnamoOstersunds FKLjungskileIK FrankeLjungskileLjungskileOsters IFLjungskileOddevoldUnited IK NordicLjungskileLjungskileSandvikens IFVarnamoLjungskileBrageOsters IFLjungskileBrageBrageHelsingborgVarbergs BoISBrageBrageSandvikens IFOstersunds FKBrageBrageGIF SundsvallFalkenbergs FFBrageBrageUnited IK NordicKarlbergs BKBrageBrageOrebro SKIFK NorrkopingBrageBrageLandskrona BoISVarnamoBrageOsters IFBrageLjungskileBrageBrageLjungskileBrageLjungskileBrageLjungskileLjungskileBrage| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Norrkoping | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | +40 | 62 |
| 2 |  Falkenbergs FF | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 52:38 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 |  Ostersunds FK | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 38:26 | +12 | 48 |
| 4 |  Varbergs BoIS | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:34 | +11 | 46 |
| 5 |  Landskrona BoIS | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:32 | +13 | 43 |
| 6 |  Oddevold | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 48:37 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |  Osters IF | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 46:45 | +1 | 42 |
| 8 |  United IK Nordic | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41:47 | -6 | 39 |
| 9 |  Sandviken | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 38 |
| 10 | Ljungskile | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 |  Helsingborg | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 |  Varnamo | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |  Orebro SK | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 |  Norrby IF | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 31:41 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 | Brage | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 45:55 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 |  GIF Sundsvall | 28 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 19:65 | -46 | 19 |
Ljungskile vs Brage Prediction (Oct 17)
The Ljungskile vs Brage prediction for October 17, 2026, points to a tight Superettan contest where the home side holds a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, team form, and league table positions, Ljungskile has a win probability of around 50%, while the draw stands at 25% and an away victory for Brage also at 25%.
Team Form
Ljungskileโs recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five outings, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. At home, the results are mixed โ a 2-1 victory over Norrby IF was surrounded by defeats to Falkenbergs FF and Varnamo, plus a draw away at IFK Norrkoping. Brage, on the other hand, are struggling even more. Their last five matches show two draws and three losses, with a 3-2 defeat at Varbergs BoIS, draws against Sandvikens IF and Ostersunds FK, and losses to GIF Sundsvall and Falkenbergs FF.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these sides slightly favours Ljungskile. In the last four meetings, Ljungskile have won twice, there has been one draw, and Brage have won once. The most recent clash, in June 2026, finished 2-2 at Brageโs ground. Historically, results have often gone the way of the home team, which could give Ljungskile an extra boost in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Ljungskile currently sit 12th in the Superettan standings with 28 points from 25 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses). Brage are not visible in the top 12, meaning they occupy a lower position. The gap in the table, combined with home advantage, reinforces Ljungskileโs status as the more likely winner on paper.
Win Probability: Ljungskile or Brage?
After normalising the bookmaker odds (home 1.92, draw 3.70, away 3.50) to remove the margin, the raw probabilities are 48.4% for a Ljungskile win, 25.1% for a draw, and 26.5% for a Brage win. Adjusting for Ljungskileโs higher league position, home ground, and Brageโs poor away form (no win in their last five road trips), we see a clearer separation. Our final probability estimate is: Ljungskile win 50%, draw 25%, Brage win 25%. Ljungskile are the more likely side to take all three points, but a close game is expected.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match odds from bookmakers price Ljungskile at 1.92, the draw at 3.70, and Brage at 3.50. These numbers already reflect Ljungskile as the favourite. Considering the home teamโs slightly superior recent H2H record and the league table gap, the value lies with the home win, though both teamsโ poor defensive records suggest goals could flow. Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a narrow victory for Ljungskile.
Ljungskile vs Brage โ FAQ
- Who will win Ljungskile vs Brage?
- Based on our win probability calculations, Ljungskile have a 50% chance of winning, while a draw and a Brage victory each stand at 25%. Ljungskileโs home advantage and higher league position make them the likeliest winner.
- What is the win probability for Ljungskile?
- Ljungskileโs win probability is 50%. This takes into account the bookmaker odds (1.92 for a home win), the teamโs home form, and the fact they are 12th in Superettan, while Brage are lower in the standings.
- When is the Ljungskile vs Brage match?
- The match is scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 12:00 local time (11:00 UTC). It will be played in the Swedish Superettan, the countryโs second-tier football league.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre-match 1X2 odds are: Ljungskile 1.92, draw 3.70, Brage 3.50. These odds indicate that the bookmakers see Ljungskile as the clear favourite to win the match.
- What is the head-to-head record between Ljungskile and Brage?
- In the last four meetings, Ljungskile have won twice, Brage once, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent encounter on June 9, 2026, finished 2-2 in Brage.