Orebro SK - Ljungskile prediction 11 October 2026
Orebro SK
LjungskileOrebro SK
Falkenbergs FFIFK NorrkopingOrebro SKOrebro SKLjungskileOrebro SKUnited IK NordicSandvikens IFOrebro SKOrebro SKUnited IK NordicGIF SundsvallOrebro SKOrebro SKOstersunds FKHelsingborgOrebro SKOrebro SKVarbergs BoISSollentuna United FFOrebro SKBrageOrebro SKNorrby IFOrebro SKOrebro SKVarnamoOrebro SKOddevoldHelsingborgLjungskileLjungskileBrageOrebro SKLjungskileGIF SundsvallLjungskileLjungskileFalkenbergs FFLjungskileNorrby IFIFK NorrkopingLjungskileLjungskileVarnamoOstersunds FKLjungskileIK FrankeLjungskileLjungskileOsters IFLjungskileOddevoldUnited IK NordicLjungskileLjungskileSandvikens IFVarnamoLjungskileOrebro SKLjungskileLjungskileOrebro SK| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Norrkoping | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | +40 | 62 |
| 2 |  Falkenbergs FF | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 52:38 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 |  Ostersunds FK | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 38:26 | +12 | 48 |
| 4 |  Varbergs BoIS | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:34 | +11 | 46 |
| 5 |  Landskrona BoIS | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:32 | +13 | 43 |
| 6 |  Oddevold | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 48:37 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |  Osters IF | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 46:45 | +1 | 42 |
| 8 |  United IK Nordic | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41:47 | -6 | 39 |
| 9 |  Sandviken | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 38 |
| 10 | Ljungskile | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 |  Helsingborg | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 |  Varnamo | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Orebro SK | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 |  Norrby IF | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 31:41 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 |  Brage | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 45:55 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 |  GIF Sundsvall | 28 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 19:65 | -46 | 19 |
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile Prediction (Oct 11)
The Orebro SK vs Ljungskile prediction for October 11, 2026, points to a tight Superettan contest at Behrn Arena. Based on odds, recent form, and league standings, Orebro SK enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Ljungskile holds a 27% chance and the draw sits at 33%.
Team Form
Orebro SK's last five matches show inconsistency: a draw (1-1 vs United IK Nordic), a loss (2-4 vs Sandvikens IF), another draw (1-1 vs United IK Nordic), a win (3-0 vs GIF Sundsvall), and a loss (0-1 vs Ostersunds FK). That's one win, two draws, and two defeats. Ljungskile's recent away form is similarly patchy with losses to GIF Sundsvall (2-3) and Falkenbergs FF (0-2), a win over Norrby IF (2-1), a draw at IFK Norrkoping (2-2), and a loss to Varnamo (0-1). Neither side carries strong momentum, but Orebro SK's home advantage could tip the balance.
Head-to-Head Record
The only recent head-to-head meeting between these teams took place on June 27, 2026, in Superettan. Ljungskile won that match 3-2 at home. The small sample size makes it hard to draw firm conclusions, but Ljungskile holds the psychological edge from that victory.
League Table Positions
In the overall Superettan standings, Ljungskile sits 12th with 28 points from 25 matches (7 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses). Orebro SK is not among the top 12, indicating a lower position and a more difficult season. The home and away splits further underline the struggles: neither team appears in the top eight of their respective home/away tables. This suggests a match between two lower-half sides, where small margins will decide the outcome.
Win Probability: Orebro SK or Ljungskile?
After normalizing bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the baseline probabilities are Orebro SK 41.4%, draw 32.7%, and Ljungskile 26.0%. Adjusting for the league table gap (Ljungskile higher), the head-to-head result, and Orebro SK's home venue, the final win probability is: Orebro SK 40%, draw 33%, Ljungskile 27%. Orebro SK has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Ljungskile has a 27% chance. The home side is slightly more likely to take all three points, but the draw is a very realistic outcome given both teams' form.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Orebro SK as the favorite. The average odds from multiple bookmakers are 2.05 for a home win, 2.59 for a draw, and 3.26 for an away win. The best price on an Orebro SK victory is as low as 1.95. Our prediction: based on the stats, Orebro SK has the edge, but the value may lie in the draw given the high probability. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline looks plausible, but the final outcome remains open.
Orebro SK vs Ljungskile โ FAQ
- Who will win Orebro SK vs Ljungskile?
- Orebro SK has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Ljungskile has a 27% chance. The home side is the favorite, but the match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for Orebro SK?
- Orebro SK's win probability is 40%. This is based on normalized bookmaker odds (implied 41.4%) adjusted slightly downward due to Ljungskile's higher league position and head-to-head win.
- When is the Orebro SK vs Ljungskile match?
- The match is on October 11, 2026, at 12:00 local time. It is a Superettan fixture played at Behrn Arena in รrebro, Sweden.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Average odds across bookmakers are 2.05 for an Orebro SK win, 2.59 for a draw, and 3.26 for a Ljungskile win. Some bookies offer a home win as low as 1.95.
- What is the head-to-head record between Orebro SK and Ljungskile?
- The only recent meeting was on June 27, 2026, where Ljungskile won 3-2 at home. The sample is small, but Ljungskile holds the advantage from that game.