NK Podvinci - Ljutomer prediction 29 September 2026

The NK Podvinci vs Ljutomer prediction for the 3 SNL match on Sep 29, 2026 at 15:00 is a tight contest with the hosts holding a slight edge. Based on statistics, NK Podvinci has a 44% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Ljutomer has a 32% chance.

Team Form

NK Podvinci come into this game in poor shape. Their last five results read: L, L, W, D, L. Most recently, they lost 0-1 at home to NK Race on Sep 26 and suffered a heavy 1-8 defeat away to NK Smartno 1928 on Sep19. The only win in this spell was a 4-1 home victory over SD Hajdina on Aug30.

Ljutomer are also struggling for consistency, with form of L, D, D, L, W in their last five. They lost 1-2 at home to NK Smartno 1928 on Sep26, drew 1-1 away at Korotan Prevalje on Sep19, and played out a 1-1 home draw with Ormoz on Sep12. Their last win was a 3-0 home success against Sampion Celje on Aug29.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Ljutomer have a slight advantage. There have been 1win for NK Podvinci, 2 draws, and 2 wins for Ljutomer. The most recent clash on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1-1 at Ljutomer. The fixture before that saw NK Podvinci win 1-0 at home on Aug23, 2025. Goals have been scarce — four of the five encounters produced under2.5 total goals.

League Table Positions

After 7 matches, NK Podvinci sit 6th in the 3 SNL table with 10 points (3W,1D,3L, goals11:14). Ljutomer are 9th with8 points (2W,2D,3L, goals11:10). At home, NK Podvinci are 7th with6 points from4 games (2W,0D,2L), showing vulnerability. Ljutomer's away form is not in the top eight, suggesting they find points hard to come by on the road.

Win Probability: NK Podvinci or Ljutomer?

The win probability, calculated from bookmaker odds and adjusted for recent form and H2H, is: NK Podvinci win 44%, draw 24%, Ljutomer win 32%. The odds implied a43.6% home win,23.9% draw, and32.5% away win before adjustments. NK Podvinci's poor recent form and Ljutomer's slightly better H2H record reduce the home edge slightly, but the hosts still hold a slight advantage due to playing at home. The most likely outcome is a narrow NK Podvinci win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds of 2.05 for a home win, 3.75 for the draw, and2.75 for an away win. These odds reflect NK Podvinci as the favourite, but with a healthy respect for Ljutomer. Based on the stats, the safest betting tip is to back NK Podvinci on the double chance, but a low-scoring game is also probable given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal.