Puszcza Niepolomice - LKS Lodz prediction 11 September 2026

Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS Lodz prediction for the I Liga match on September 11, 2026, at 18:45. Based on bookmakers' odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 38% probability, while LKS Lodz holds a slight edge over the hosts with a 32% win chance against Puszcza's 30%.

Team Form

Puszcza Niepolomice have been inconsistent in their last five outings (D, W, W, L, L). They drew 0-0 away at Pogon Siedlce, then beat Wisla Plock II 2-0 in the Cup, and defeated Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala 2-0 at home. However, they lost 0-1 at home to Unia Skierniewice and suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat at Arka Gdynia. Two losses in their last three I Liga matches highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

LKS Lodz come into this fixture with a slightly better recent record (D, L, D, W, W). They drew 1-1 away at Arka Gdynia, lost 0-1 at GKS Tychy in the Cup, and drew 0-0 at Odra Opole. The team then bounced back strongly with two home wins – a 4-0 thrashing of Stal Mielec and a 2-1 victory over Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza. Their away form is less convincing, with two draws and a loss in the last three on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

Puszcza Niepolomice have dominated the historical meetings, winning 3 of the 4 encounters, with no draws. The most recent clash on May 18, 2026, saw Puszcza win 1-0 at home. LKS Lodz's only triumph came in March 2024 with a 3-2 home victory. The overall goal difference across the four matches stands at 8-5 in Puszcza's favor, underlining their ability to get results against LKS Lodz.

League Table Positions

LKS Lodz sit 3rd in the I Liga overall standings with 12 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Puszcza Niepolomice are outside the top 12, indicating a lower position in the league. In the home table, LKS Lodz are top with 9 points from 4 home games, but this match is away. Puszcza's home form is not among the top eight, suggesting they have struggled to pick up points at their own stadium. The away table does not feature LKS Lodz in the top eight, confirming their modest away performances.

Win Probability: Puszcza Niepolomice or LKS Lodz?

Puszcza Niepolomice has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and LKS Lodz has a 32% chance. These probabilities are derived from the inverse of the average odds (home 3.05, draw 2.18, away 2.60) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for H2H dominance, recent form, and league positions. The odds point to a draw as the most likely result, but LKS Lodz's higher league standing and slightly better recent form give them a marginal advantage over the hosts, while Puszcza's strong H2H record at home keeps their chances alive.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 3.00–3.10 for a Puszcza Niepolomice win, 2.15–2.20 for a draw, and 2.58–2.62 for an LKS Lodz victory. Based on the stats, the draw is the most probable outcome, but LKS Lodz are seen as the slight favorites to win given their superior league position. Puszcza's historical edge cannot be discounted, making this a closely contested fixture. A cautious prediction would be a draw or a narrow LKS Lodz win.