Lokomotiv Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2 prediction 3 October 2026

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya Zhytomyr 2 prediction: the Persha Liga clash on October 3, 2026, at 10:30 tips the scales towards the home side with a 50% win probability, while the draw is assessed at 25% and an away victory at 25%.

Team Form

Lokomotiv Kyiv bring a mixed recent run into this fixture. Their last five results read W, W, W, L, L – a three-match winning streak snapped by back-to-back defeats. Those wins include 1-0 over FC Kulykiv and 2-1 against Poltava FC, both at home, while the losses were a 0-1 reverse at FC Kolos Kovalivka 2 and a 1-3 home defeat to Yarud Mariupol. Over nine league games, they have scored and conceded exactly nine goals, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent side.

Polissya Zhytomyr2 are struggling for consistency. Their last five outings show L, L, W, D, L. A 3-2 home win over Agrobiznes Volochisk briefly halted the slide, but 0-3 and 1-2 defeats either side highlight defensive vulnerabilities. They have lost three of their last five, with only one victory.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings on record between these two sides. This will be a first-ever encounter in available data, adding an element of unpredictability.

League Table Positions

Lokomotiv Kyiv sit 10th in the Persha Liga standings with 12 points from nine matches (3 wins,3 draws,3 losses). Their goal difference is neutral at 9-9. Polissya Zhytomyr2 do not appear in the provided top-12 table, indicating a lower-placed position than their hosts. The home team will look to capitalise on this ranking gap.

Win Probability: Lokomotiv Kyiv or Polissya Zhytomyr2?

Using bookmaker odds as a baseline and adjusting for recent form and home advantage, the calculated match outcome probabilities are: Lokomotiv Kyiv win – 50%, draw – 25%, Polissya Zhytomyr2 win – 25%.

The 1X2 odds of 2.05 (home), 3.30 (draw), and 3.20 (away) imply probabilities close to 44%, 27%, and 28% after removing the overround. Lokomotiv Kyiv’s positive three-match run and the fact they are playing at home shift the likelihood further in their favour. Polissya Zhytomyr2’s poor recent results and lower league standing reduce their chances. The conclusion: Lokomotiv Kyiv are the most likely winners, but the draw and an away surprise remain realistic outcomes given the absence of head-to-head history.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available pre-match odds show a home win at 2.05, a draw at 3.30, and an away win at 3.20. Bookmakers clearly identify Lokomotiv Kyiv as the favourite.

Based on the stats – stronger recent form, home advantage, and a higher league position – Lokomotiv Kyiv are expected to edge this contest. However, with no head-to-head reference and the hosts’ defensive lapses in their most recent home game, a cautious approach suggests a low-scoring home win or a draw cannot be ruled out.