NK Tomislav Cerna - Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction 9 September 2026

The NK Tomislav Cerna vs Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction for this Croatian Cup match on Sep 09 at 14:30 points to a clear favorite. Based on the available data, Lokomotiva Zagreb has an 85% chance of winning, while NK Tomislav Cerna has a 7% chance, and the draw sits at 8%.

Team Form

NK Tomislav Cerna's recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They secured a 4-0 victory against NK Uljanik in the Cup on Aug 26, but suffered a 2-3 loss to Marsonia 1909 Slavonski Brod in the Treca HNL on May 12. Their other results include a 2-2 draw with Slavija Pleternica, a 2-1 win over Radnicki Dalj, and a 1-0 win against Belisce.

Lokomotiva Zagreb's recent form is poor, with four losses and one win in their last five matches. They lost 1-2 to NK Slaven Belupo on Sep 06, 0-2 to Hajduk Split on Aug 31, 1-4 to Rudes on Aug 21, and 0-1 to Osijek on Aug 15. Their only win was a 3-1 home victory against HNK Gorica on Aug 08. All of Lokomotiva's recent matches were in the HNL, Croatia's top division.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between NK Tomislav Cerna and Lokomotiva Zagreb. The data shows zero home wins, zero draws, and zero away wins, indicating these two teams have not met in recent competitive matches.

League Table Positions

No specific league table positions or points are provided in the data. However, the competition levels differ significantly: NK Tomislav Cerna plays in the Treca HNL (third tier), while Lokomotiva Zagreb competes in the HNL (top tier). This gap in league quality is a major factor in the match prediction.

Win Probability: NK Tomislav Cerna or Lokomotiva Zagreb?

NK Tomislav Cerna has a 7% chance of winning, the draw is at 8%, and Lokomotiva Zagreb has an 85% chance. These probabilities are calculated from the available odds (home 18.00, draw 8.20, away 1.09), which were inverted and normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The adjustment reflects the massive gap in league levels—top-flight HNL versus third-tier Treca HNL—and Lokomotiva's superior schedule strength, despite their recent poor form. Lokomotiva Zagreb is overwhelmingly more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are 18.00 for a NK Tomislav Cerna win, 8.20 for a draw, and 1.09 for a Lokomotiva Zagreb victory. These odds confirm Lokomotiva Zagreb as the heavy favorite. Based on the stats and the significant difference in league quality, the prediction is a win for Lokomotiva Zagreb.