The Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Tomislav Donji Andrijevci prediction for the Croatian Cup match on September 9, 2026, at 14:30 sees the top-flight visitors as overwhelming favorites. Based on odds and the gulf in class, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a 75% win probability, a draw is at 20%, and the home side holds just a 5% chance of an upset.
Lokomotiva Zagreb enters this cup tie with a poor recent away record. Their last five matches across all competitions show four defeats and one victory (L,L,L,L,W). All four losses came on the road in the HNL โ against Slaven Belupo (2-1), Hajduk Split (2-0), Rudes (4-1), and Osijek (1-0). The only win was a 3-1 home success over HNK Gorica in early August. The team has struggled defensively on their travels, conceding nine goals in those four away losses.
NK Tomislav Donji Andrijevci has very limited recent data. Their last recorded match is a 2-1 away win over Granicar Zupanja in the Treca HNL (third division) on April 6, 2025. That victory is the only form reference available, giving little insight into their current competitiveness.
There is no head-to-head history between these two sides. This will be the first ever meeting, with 0 wins for the home team, 0 draws, and 0 wins for the away team in the official record.
The probabilities are calculated from bookmaker odds (implied probabilities averaged across six markets, then normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for the teamsโ form and the competition gap.
Lokomotiva Zagrebโs HNL status and the significant quality advantage over a third-tier opponent make them the clear favorite, despite their recent away struggles. The 20% draw probability reflects the possibility of a resilient defensive performance from the lower-league hosts, while the 5% home win is a long shot.
Bookmakers heavily favor the visitors. The best odds available show Lokomotiva Zagreb as short as 1.08 to win, while an NK Tomislav Donji Andrijevci victory can be backed at as high as 34.33. The draw is priced between 3.30 and 13.50 across different bookies. The average market odds are around 1.25 for an away win, 5.32 for the draw, and 23.81 for the home side.
Based on the stats, the logical Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Tomislav Donji Andrijevci prediction is an away victory. Lokomotivaโs top-tier experience should see them through, even if their recent away form raises mild concerns. A low-scoring win for the visitors is the most likely outcome.