Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Tbilisi prediction 16 October 2026

The Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi prediction for October 16, 2026, in Georgia's 3 Liga points to Merani Tbilisi as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Lokomotivi Tbilisi has a 25% chance of winning, while the draw is estimated at 30%. The match kicks off at 15:00 local time.

Team Form

Lokomotivi Tbilisi's last five matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, W, L, D, D). On October 9, they beat Didube 2014 3-1 away. Before that, a 2-0 home win over FC Irao Tbilisi on September 17 was followed by a 2-1 loss at WIT Georgia on September 9. They drew 3-3 at home with Varketili Tbilisi on September 3 and 1-1 at Dinamo Tbilisi II on August 27.

Merani Tbilisi are unbeaten in their last five (D, D, W, W, W). They drew 2-2 at home with Iveria Khashuri on October 9 and 2-2 at Iberia 2010 Tbilisi on September 17. Three straight wins came before that: 4-1 at home to Kolkheti Khobi on September 10, 2-0 at FC Margveti 2006 on September 3, and 4-1 at home to Gardabani on August 27.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, with one win each and no draws. The most recent clash was on May 3, 2026, in the 3 Liga, where Merani Tbilisi won 1-0 at home. The other meeting, a Cup tie on April 21, 2021, saw Lokomotivi Tbilisi win 5-2 away.

League Table Positions

In the overall 3 Liga standings, Merani Tbilisi sit 4th with 40 points from 23 games (11 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses). Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 10th with 31 points (8 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). At home, Lokomotivi have 18 points from 11 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), ranking 8th in the home table. Merani's away record is stronger: 21 points from 11 away games (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), placing them 4th in the away table.

Win Probability: Lokomotivi Tbilisi or Merani Tbilisi?

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Merani Tbilisi has a 45% chance. Merani's higher probability is based on their superior league position (4th vs 10th), an unbeaten run of five matches, and a strong away record that outperforms Lokomotivi's home form. Lokomotivi have won only 5 of 11 home games, while Merani have won 6 of 11 on the road. The head-to-head record is balanced, but Merani won the most recent league meeting. The draw gets a solid 30% because both sides have drawn 7 of 23 league games this season.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. Based on the stats, Merani Tbilisi are the more likely winners. Our prediction: Merani Tbilisi to win.