Londrina PR - Cuiaba MT prediction 20 October 2026

The Londrina PR vs Cuiaba MT prediction for this Brazilian Serie B clash on Oct 20, 2026, at 23:30 leans towards an away win or a draw. Based on head-to-head dominance and league standing, we give Cuiaba MT a 42% win probability, while a draw sits at 33%, leaving Londrina PR with a 25% chance of victory at home.

Team Form

Londrina PR enters this match in miserable form. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, recording one draw and four losses. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw away at Athletic Club MG on Oct 13, breaking a four-game losing streak where they conceded at least two goals in each defeat, including a 2-0 loss at Vila Nova GO and a 2-0 home loss to Criciuma SC.

Cuiaba MT's form is inconsistent but superior. Their last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses. They are coming off a disappointing 1-0 home defeat to Avai SC on Oct 11, but previously secured a 2-0 home win against Ponte Preta SP and a solid 0-0 draw away at league leaders Vila Nova GO. Notably, three of their last five matches saw Cuiaba MT keep a clean sheet.

Head-to-Head Record

The history books heavily favor Londrina PR in this fixture, with the hosts winning 4 of the 5 recorded meetings. The remaining match ended in a draw, meaning Cuiaba MT has never beaten Londrina PR. The most recent encounter was a 2-2 draw this season on Jun 26, where Cuiaba MT hosted. Before that, Londrina PR won three consecutive away games with a 1-0 scoreline in 2019 and a 1-0 home victory in the same year.

• Jun 26, 2026: Cuiaba MT 2-2 Londrina PR
• Oct 5, 2019: Cuiaba MT 0-1 Londrina PR
• Oct 4, 2019: Cuiaba MT 0-1 Londrina PR
• Jun 7, 2019: Londrina PR 1-0 Cuiaba MT

League Table Positions

There is a significant gap between the two sides in the Serie B standings. Cuiaba MT sits 11th with 47 points from 33 matches, holding a strong defensive record with just 26 goals conceded. Londrina PR finds itself far lower down the table, with the provided overall standings cutting off after 12th place—where Londrina PR is notably absent, indicating they are likely in a relegation battle.

The home and away splits further contextualize this match. No home record is available for Londrina PR in the provided data, suggesting very poor home form that places them outside the top 8. Cuiaba MT's away form is not listed in the top 8 either, but their overall points total confirms they are a solid mid-table side.

Win Probability: Londrina PR or Cuiaba MT?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Cuiaba MT has a 42% chance, the draw is at 33%, and Londrina PR has a 25% win probability. This assessment starts with the bookmaker odds, where the average implied probability gives a nearly equal chance to a draw and a Cuiaba MT win, with Londrina as a slight underdog. We adjusted these raw figures based on statistics: Londrina PR's disastrous recent form (4 losses in 5) reduces their true chances despite a dominant H2H record. Cuiaba MT's defensive solidity and superior league position increase their probability, but the historical head-to-head curse and away fixture prevent them from being clear favorites. The high draw probability reflects the 2-2 stalemate earlier this season.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are struggling to separate the sides, making this a tricky betting market. The best available odds from the data show a home win at 2.80, a draw at a very short 2.00, and an away win at 2.88. The exceptionally low odds on the draw indicate the market strongly expects a stalemate.

Our Londrina PR vs Cuiaba MT prediction aligns with the value available. While Londrina PR has the historical edge, their current form is dreadful. Cuiaba MT is the better team on paper but has never won in this fixture. Based on the stats, a draw is the most logical match outcome, though betting tips must acknowledge that Cuiaba MT has the strongest chance to finally break their duck if there is a winner.