LoPa Lohja - Pallo-Pojat Akatemia prediction 11 September 2026

LoPa Lohja vs Pallo-Pojat Akatemia prediction for the Kolmonen match on September 11, 2026, at 15:30. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, LoPa Lohja enters as a slight favorite with a 48% win probability, while the draw is at 30% and Pallo-Pojat Akatemia holds a 22% chance of an away victory.

Team Form

LoPa Lohja's last five matches have been inconsistent: L, D, D, W, L. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 away loss to HooGee on Sep 03. Before that, they drew 2-2 at home with NuPS (Aug 28) and 2-2 away at EIF Akademi (Aug 20). A 2-1 home win over MPS Malmin Palloseura (Aug 12) was followed by a 3-2 away loss at LehPa (Aug 05). At home, they are unbeaten in their last two, with one win and one draw.

Pallo-Pojat Akatemia's recent form reads L, W, L, L, W. They lost 3-1 away to MPS Malmin Palloseura on Sep 04, then beat SexyPoxyt 2-1 at home (Aug 27). A 2-0 home loss to Gilla FC (Aug 20) and a 3-2 away loss at Grifk Akatemia (Aug 16) were followed by a 3-2 home win over HooGee (Aug 06). Their two away games in this stretch both ended in defeat.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before. On June 4, 2026, Pallo-Pojat Akatemia hosted LoPa Lohja and won convincingly, 3-0. With home advantage now switching to LoPa Lohja, that past result carries limited weight, but it does show Pallo-Pojat can dominate on their day.

Win Probability: LoPa Lohja or Pallo-Pojat Akatemia?

Using bookmaker odds as a baseline and adjusting for team form, home advantage, and head-to-head data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• LoPa Lohja win: 48%
• Draw: 30%
• Pallo-Pojat Akatemia win: 22%

The odds-derived probabilities (averaging three bookmakers after removing margin) gave LoPa Lohja 44%, the draw 31%, and Pallo-Pojat 25%. We then gave LoPa Lohja a small boost for their decent home form (unbeaten in last two at home) and Pallo-Pojat's struggles on the road (two straight away losses). Consequently, LoPa Lohja emerges as the more likely winner, though the draw remains a serious possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' pre-match 1X2 odds vary: one offers 2.20 home, 2.62 draw, 3.60 away; another shows 2.20 / 2.50 / 3.75; a third quotes a low 1.75 for the home win, 3.85 draw, 3.50 away. The average odds near 2.05 for a home win, 2.99 for the draw, and 3.62 for an away victory underline LoPa Lohja's position as moderate favorite. Our prediction: LoPa Lohja to win is the single most likely outcome, but given the data, a draw is a strong second chance. Punters looking for value might consider the draw or a home win depending on the bookmaker selected.