Monaco - LOSC Lille prediction 25 October 2026

France ยท Ligue 1Finished
Monaco
1:1
FT
LOSC Lille
Match Info
CompetitionLigue 1 ยท France
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeFrancois Letexier
Recent Form
Monaco
D
W
L
W
D
LOSC Lille
D
L
D
L
W
Recent matches ยท Monaco
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
11
D
UEFA Conference League
Monaco
SC Freiburg
30
W
Ligue 1
Lorient
Monaco
10
L
UEFA Conference League
CSKA Sofia
Monaco
12
W
Ligue 1
Monaco
Toulouse
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Monaco
Pisa
20
W
Ligue 1
Monaco
Lens
21
W
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
Monaco
11
D
Ligue 1
PSG
Monaco
12
W
Ligue 1
Monaco
Marseille
20
W
UEFA Conference League Qualification
Monaco
Gornik Zabrze
41
W
Ligue 1
Le Havre
Monaco
01
W
UEFA Conference League Qualification
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
23
W
Friendly Clubs
Coventry City
Monaco
20
L
Friendly Clubs
Liverpool
Monaco
23
W
Recent matches ยท LOSC Lille
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
11
D
UEFA Champions League
LOSC Lille
Galatasaray
24
L
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Brest
11
D
UEFA Champions League
Arsenal FC
LOSC Lille
30
L
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
10
W
Ligue 1
Nice
LOSC Lille
21
L
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Troyes
20
W
UEFA Champions League
LOSC Lille
Real Betis
23
L
Ligue 1
Toulouse
LOSC Lille
01
W
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
PSG
22
D
Ligue 1
Angers
LOSC Lille
02
W
Friendly Clubs
Everton
LOSC Lille
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Hamburger SV
LOSC Lille
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
LOSC Lille
36
W
Friendly Clubs
LOSC Lille
RAAL La Louviere
30
W
Lineups
Monaco4-2-3-1
  • 10A. GolovinM
  • 31Ansu FatiM
  • 4J. TezeD
  • 6D. ZakariaM
  • 2VandersonD
  • 20Flรกvio NazinhoD
  • 8L. CamaraM
  • 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
  • 28M. CoulibalyM
  • 72Sadibou SanรฉD
  • 1L. HrรกdeckรฝG
Substitutes
  • 18T. Minamino
  • 9F. Balogun
  • 11M. Abline
  • 13C. Mawissa Elebi
  • 37E. Diop
  • 7M. Detourbet
  • 22M. Salisu
  • 49I. Tourรฉ
  • 16P. Kรถhn
LOSC Lille4-2-3-1
  • 23T. NianzouD
  • 1B. ร–zerG
  • 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
  • 15R. PerraudD
  • 21B. AndrรฉM
  • 3N. NgoyD
  • 17N. MukauM
  • 8E. MbappรฉM
  • 6N. BentalebM
  • 35S. DiaouneF
  • 10H. HaraldssonM
Substitutes
  • 14M. Kjรฆrgaard
  • 7D. Bakwa
  • 28G. Perrin
  • 9O. Giroud
  • 24C. Verdonk
  • 26I. Cossier
  • 38M. Goffi
  • 12O. Gill
Timeline
  • 15'EventAnsu Fati
  • 24'EventE. Mbappรฉ
Head-to-Head ยท summary
8
Monaco
13
Draws
9
LOSC Lille
Previous meetings
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
11
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
01
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
10
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
21
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
20
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
43
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
12
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
12
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
22
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
22
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
21
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
13
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
12
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
15
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
00
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
00
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
00
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
21
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
21
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
04
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille
Monaco
04
Ligue 1
Monaco
LOSC Lille
40
Cup
Monaco
LOSC Lille
21
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rennes851218:14+416
2LOSC Lille843111:6+515
3Monaco843111:7+415
4Lyon742113:5+814
5PSG742114:9+514
6Paris FC842213:9+414
7Lens841316:12+413
8Marseille840418:13+512
9Lorient83327:6+112
10Nice83238:10-211
11Toulouse824212:11+110
12Auxerre831412:18-610
13Brest823314:12+29
14Angers82249:15-68
15Le Mans814311:16-57
16Strasbourg821512:18-67
17Troyes81255:16-115
18Le Havre80268:15-72
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Monaco vs LOSC Lille Prediction (Oct 25)

Our Monaco vs LOSC Lille prediction for October 25, 2026, in Ligue 1 leans towards a narrow home victory, with Monaco holding a 41% win probability. Played at Stade Louis II, this fixture pits two of France's top sides against each other, with bookmakers seeing the hosts as the favorite based on current form and home advantage.

Team Form

Monaco's recent form across all competitions reads W, D, W, W, D in their last five matches. They are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season and most recently secured a 2-1 away win at CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Conference League on October 15. At home in the league, they drew 2-2 with Toulouse on October 10 but beat Lens 2-1 in their previous Stade Louis II fixture.

LOSC Lille's last five results show D, L, W, L, W. They drew 1-1 at home to Brest on October 17 in Ligue 1 and suffered a 3-0 away defeat to Arsenal FC in the UEFA Champions League on October 13. On the road domestically, their last away trip ended in a 2-1 loss at Nice on September 20.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, LOSC Lille have dominated with three wins, while Monaco are yet to record a victory, alongside one draw. The most recent encounter on May 10, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away win for LOSC Lille. The overall head-to-head record in all competitions stands at 8 Monaco wins, 12 draws, and 9 LOSC Lille wins.

League Table Positions

Monaco sit 3rd in the Ligue 1 table with 14 points from 6 matches, remaining unbeaten with 4 wins and 2 draws. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 5, with a game in hand. LOSC Lille are 2nd, also on 14 points but from 7 matches, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their goal difference is identical: 10 scored and 5 conceded. At home, Monaco are 4th with 7 points from 3 games; Lille are ranked 2nd in the away table with 6 points from 3 away matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2.

Win Probability: Monaco or LOSC Lille?

Based on available odds, form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Monaco 41%, Draw 31%, LOSC Lille 28%. The bookmaker odds (best available: Monaco 2.00, Draw 3.50, LOSC Lille 3.65) have been normalized to remove the margin, placing Monaco as the favorite. We slightly adjusted this baseline upward for the hosts given their strong home record and unbeaten season, but the head-to-head trend favoring Lille keeps the away win chance significant. The draw also holds high probability, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the best outright odds of 2.00 for a Monaco win, 3.50 for the draw, and 3.65 for an away LOSC Lille victory. According to the betting market, Monaco are the clear favorites. Our match prediction aligns: based on the stats, Monaco are more likely to win, but the value may lie in the draw given LOSC Lille's strong recent head-to-head record and solid defensive numbers on the road.

Monaco vs LOSC Lille โ€” FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs LOSC Lille?
Monaco are the favorites with a 41% chance of winning, while the draw probability is 31% and LOSC Lille have a 28% chance. Based on current form and home advantage, Monaco are more likely to win, but the match is expected to be very close.
What is the win probability for Monaco?
Monaco's win probability is calculated at 41%. This is based on their unbeaten Ligue 1 record, home advantage at Stade Louis II, and the bookmaker odds, slightly adjusted for recent form and head-to-head data.
When is the Monaco vs LOSC Lille match?
The match is scheduled for October 25, 2026, at 14:00 UTC. It is a Ligue 1 fixture to be played at Stade Louis II in Monaco.
What are the odds for the match?
The best available 1X2 odds are 2.00 for a Monaco home win, 3.50 for the draw, and 3.65 for a LOSC Lille away win. These odds reflect bookmakers' view of Monaco as the favorite.
What recent form do both teams have?
Monaco's last five results: W, D, W, W, D, including a 2-2 home draw with Toulouse. LOSC Lille's last five: D, L, W, L, W, most recently a 1-1 home draw against Brest.
Monaco โ€“ LOSC Lille ยท match page