Loughborough Lightning Women - Chesterfield Women prediction 17 September 2026

On September 17, 2026, Loughborough Lightning Women host Chesterfield Women in the National League Women. Our Loughborough Lightning Women vs Chesterfield Women prediction points to a home win, with Loughborough Lightning Women having a 60% chance based on odds and form.

Team Form

Loughborough Lightning Women have had mixed results in their last five matches (W, L, L, W, D). They recorded a 1-0 home win against Stoke City LFC Women on Aug 30, but suffered a heavy 5-1 away loss to Huddersfield Town Women on Aug 23. At home, they beat Sporting Khalsa Women 6-0 back in April and drew 1-1 away with Halifax Queens SC Women. The team has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 in these five outings, showing both attacking threat and defensive vulnerability.

Chesterfield Women have only one recent match on record, a 1-0 away defeat to Leafield Athletic Women on Aug 30. Limited data suggests they may struggle, especially away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Loughborough Lightning Women and Chesterfield Women. The two sides have never met before, according to the available statistics.

Win Probability: Loughborough Lightning Women or Chesterfield Women?

Based on bookmaker odds (home 1.50, draw 3.75, away 5.50), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are: Loughborough Lightning Women win 60%, draw 24%, Chesterfield Women win 16%. After factoring in home advantage and recent form—where the hosts have won two of their last five while the visitors lost their only recorded match—the home side remains the clear favorite. Loughborough Lightning Women has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Chesterfield Women has a 16% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match (1X2 market) are: Loughborough Lightning Women at 1.50, the draw at 3.75, and Chesterfield Women at 5.50. Bookmakers see Loughborough Lightning Women as strong favorites. With the form analysis and the lack of any head-to-head precedent, our prediction is a home victory. However, the 24% probability of a draw suggests that a stalemate is not out of the question.

Final prediction: Loughborough Lightning Women to win. For betting tips, backing the home win at 1.50 offers value based on the 60% likelihood, while the draw might be an interesting long-shot at 3.75.