Loughborough University - Bourne Town prediction 6 October 2026

Loughborough University vs Bourne Town prediction for the Northern Division One match on October 6, 2026. The game kicks off at 19:45 and our analysis shows Loughborough University with a 38% chance of winning, a draw at 32%, and Bourne Town at 30%. This betting tip examines team form, head-to-head record, and odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Loughborough University come into this fixture with a last-five record of L, D, W, W, D. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 defeat at Nuneaton Town on October 3. Before that, they played out a goalless home draw with Basford United on September 29, won 1-0 at Long Eaton United on September 22, triumphed 4-3 at home against Chasetown in the FA Trophy on September 12, and drew 3-3 at home with Corby Town on September 5. At home, they are unbeaten in three (W1 D2), scoring 7 goals and conceding 6 in those matches.

Bourne Town's away form over their last five matches reads W, L, W, L, D. They secured a 2-1 win at Rugby Town on September 30, lost 2-1 at Boldmere Saint Michaels in the FA Cup on September 8, thrashed Newcastle Town 3-0 in the FA Trophy on August 29, fell 2-0 at Anstey Nomads on March 17, and drew 2-2 at Coventry Sphinx on March 7. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 in these five away games, showing they can find the net but are vulnerable defensively.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between Loughborough University and Bourne Town took place on November 15, 2025, in the Northern Division One. Bourne Town won that match 2-1, giving them a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head record with no draws. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge coming into this clash.

League Table Positions

The league standings data provided only includes the top 12 teams in the Northern Division One. Neither Loughborough University nor Bourne Town feature in that list, meaning their exact positions and points are not available. This suggests both sides are likely in the lower half of the table, making this a battle between two teams looking to climb.

Win Probability: Loughborough University or Bourne Town?

To calculate the win probability, we started with the bookmaker odds. Two sets were available: one with home 2.70, draw 2.25, away 3.30; another with home 2.05, draw 3.60, away 2.88. We took the inverse of each odd, summed them to find the margin, then normalized to 100%. The average implied probabilities were 38.5% for a Loughborough University win, 32.4% for a draw, and 29.1% for a Bourne Town win. After adjusting for recent form (both teams have similar goal records, but Loughborough are unbeaten in three at home) and the head-to-head (Bourne Town won the only meeting), we settled on final probabilities of 38% home win, 32% draw, and 30% away win. Loughborough University are marginal favorites, but the draw is a very live possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available from the data are: Loughborough University win at 2.70, draw at 3.60, Bourne Town win at 3.30. The relatively short odds on the draw (as low as 2.25 with one bookmaker) underline how tight this match is expected to be. Based on the stats, our prediction is that Loughborough University have a slight edge, but a draw cannot be ruled out. A 1-1 scoreline looks a plausible outcome given both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns. For betting tips, the draw or a home win with caution are the most sensible options.