Sporting Jax - Louisville Cardinals prediction 22 October 2026
Sporting Jax
Louisville Cardinals
Tampa Bay RowdiesSporting JaxSporting JaxLouisville CardinalsSporting JaxBirmingham LegionSporting JaxBirmingham LegionMiami FCSporting JaxSporting JaxLoudoun UnitedHartford AthleticSporting JaxSporting JaxRhode Island FCSporting JaxLexington SCBrooklyn FCSporting JaxBirmingham LegionSporting JaxSporting JaxIndy ElevenSacramento RepublicSporting JaxEl Paso LocomotiveSporting JaxSporting JaxBrooklyn FCLouisville CardinalsDetroit CitySporting JaxLouisville CardinalsLouisville CardinalsIndy ElevenCharleston BatteryLouisville CardinalsHartford AthleticLouisville CardinalsHartford AthleticLouisville CardinalsLouisville CardinalsLoudoun UnitedLouisville CardinalsEl Paso LocomotiveSan Antonio FCLouisville CardinalsRhode Island FCLouisville CardinalsLouisville CardinalsDetroit CityIndy ElevenLouisville CardinalsOrange County Blue StarLouisville CardinalsTampa Bay RowdiesLouisville CardinalsLouisville CardinalsSan Antonio FCSporting JaxLouisville CardinalsLouisville CardinalsSporting Jax| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 |
| 7 |  Lexington SC | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 |
| 8 | Louisville Cardinals | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 |
| 11 |  San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 |
| 12 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 |
| 13 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 |
| 14 |  Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 |
| 15 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 |
| 16 |  Orange County Blue Star | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 18 |  Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 |
| 20 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 21 |  Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 |
| 23 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 |
| 24 |  Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 |
| 25 |  Sporting Jax | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
Sporting Jax vs Louisville Prediction (Oct 22)
Our Sporting Jax vs Louisville prediction for October 22, 2026 breaks down the USL Championship clash at 00:30. Based on current form and bookmaker odds, away side Louisville enters as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability.
Team Form
Sporting Jax is struggling badly, losing their last five matches. They suffered a 0-1 home loss to Birmingham Legion on Oct 15, another 0-1 defeat to Birmingham on Oct 10, a 1-4 loss at Miami FC on Oct 1, a 1-4 home defeat to Loudoun United on Sep 26, and a 0-2 loss at Hartford Athletic on Sep 16.
Louisville is in excellent shape with four wins and one draw in their last five. They beat Indy Eleven 4-1 at home on Oct 18, won 2-0 at Charleston Battery on Oct 10, won 1-0 at Hartford Athletic in the USL Cup on Oct 4, drew 2-2 at Hartford in the league on Sep 26, and beat Loudoun United 2-1 at home on Sep 20.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before. On April 18, 2026, Louisville won 1-0 at home against Sporting Jax. The head-to-head record currently stands at 0 wins for Sporting Jax, 0 draws, and 1 win for Louisville.
League Table Positions
Louisville sits 9th in the overall USL Championship standings with 43 points from 28 games (12 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses, 49 goals scored, 43 conceded). On the road, they rank 7th with 19 points from 14 away matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Sporting Jax does not appear in the provided top standings, indicating a lower-table position.
Win Probability: Sporting Jax or Louisville?
Based on the stats, Sporting Jax has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Louisville has a 55% chance. The average bookmaker odds imply a clear away favorite, and when we adjust those raw probabilities (removing the margin) and factor in Sporting Jaxโs five straight losses and Louisvilleโs unbeaten run of five matches, the away win percentage strengthens. The single head-to-head meeting also went to Louisville. Louisville is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Available 1X2 odds: home win at 6.00-6.30, draw at 2.62-2.75, away win at 1.68-1.80. Bookmakers see Louisville as the favorite. Based on the stats, the logical betting tip points toward an away victory. However, odds are subject to change, so always check the latest lines.
Sporting Jax vs Louisville โ FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Jax vs Louisville?
- Louisville is the most likely winner. Our analysis gives Louisville a 55% chance of winning, the draw a 30% chance, and Sporting Jax just a 15% chance.
- What is the win probability for Louisville?
- Louisville has a 55% probability to win. This is based on their strong form (four wins and a draw in the last five), their prior 1-0 head-to-head win, and bookmaker odds that price them as clear favorites.
- When is the Sporting Jax vs Louisville match?
- The match is on October 22, 2026, kicking off at 00:30 local time. It is part of the USL Championship in the USA.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds show a home win around 6.30, a draw around 2.75, and an away Louisville win around 1.68. These reflect Louisville as the strong favorite.
- What is Sporting Jax's recent form?
- Sporting Jax has lost five consecutive matches. Their recent defeats include a 0-1 loss to Birmingham Legion, a 1-4 loss to Miami FC, and a 1-4 loss to Loudoun United.