Vitoria de Sernache - Louletano prediction 10 October 2026
Vitoria de Sernache
Louletano
UD SantaremVitoria de SernacheBritoVitoria de SernacheVitoria de SernacheLouletanoVitoria de SernacheVarzimCaldasVitoria de SernacheVitoria de SernacheCF Os BelenensesGd NazarenosVitoria de SernacheUD OliveirenseVitoria de SernacheVitoria de SernacheSporting CovilhaMafraVitoria de SernacheLecaVitoria de SernacheVitoria de SernacheLouletanoAtletico MalveiraVitoria de SernacheVitoria de SernacheOliveira HospitalLouletanoVitoria de SernacheLouletanoAtletico Clube de PortugalLouletanoRio AveVitoria de SernacheLouletanoSerpaLouletanoLouletanoUD SantaremLouletanoLusitano Ginasio Clube EvoraCastrenseLouletanoCaldasLouletanoLouletanoCF Os BelenensesUD OliveirenseLouletanoVitoria de SernacheLouletanoLouletanoOliveira HospitalLouletanoAtletico MalveiraLouletanoVitoria de SernacheOliveira HospitalLouletanoVitoria de SernacheLouletanoVitoria de SernacheLouletanoLouletanoVitoria de Sernache| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Atletico Clube de Portugal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 |  UD Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 |  UD Santarem | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Louletano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sporting Covilha | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Lusitano Ginasio Clube Evora | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Vitoria de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Vitoria de Sernache vs Louletano Prediction (Oct 10)
Looking for a Vitoria de Sernache vs Louletano prediction for the Tercera Liga match on October 10, 2026? Based on the latest statistics, Louletano has a 40% win probability, while a draw is at 35%, and Vitoria de Sernache holds a 25% chance. Louletano enters this away fixture as the slight favorite.
Team Form
Vitoria de Sernache (Home Recent Form)
Vitoria de Sernacheโs last five home/overall games show mixed results: W, L, L, W, L. Their most recent match was a 2-1 home win against Varzim in the Cup on Sep 19. Prior to that, they lost 0-2 away to Caldas in the Tercera Liga, lost 1-3 at home to CF Os Belenenses, won 3-0 away against Gd Nazarenos in the Cup, and lost 2-3 away to UD Oliveirense in the league. Overall, they have 2 wins and 3 losses in those five outings.
Louletano (Away Recent Form)
Louletanoโs recent away/overall form is stronger: D, L, W, W, W. Their last match was a 1-1 draw at Serpa in the Cup on Sep 20. Before that, they lost 1-2 at home to UD Santarem, then won three straight: 1-0 home against Lusitano Ginasio Clube Evora, 1-0 at Castrense in the Cup, and a high-scoring 4-2 away win over Caldas in the league. Thatโs three wins in five, with just one loss.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met twice in recent history, both in the Campeonato de Portugal. Vitoria de Sernache leads the head-to-head with 1 win and 1 draw. The most recent clash was on May 31, 2026, where Vitoria de Sernache drew1-1 at home against Louletano. Before that, on May10,2026, Vitoria de Sernache won2-1 away at Louletano. So Vitoria de Sernache has yet to lose to Louletano in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Louletano currently sits10th in the Tercera Liga overall standings with7 points (2 wins,1 draw,2 losses; goals for7, against7). In the away table, they rank7th with4 points from2 away matches (1 win,1 draw; scored4, conceded2). Vitoria de Sernacheโs position in the league table is not listed in the available data, but their recent home form has been inconsistent.
Win Probability: Vitoria de Sernache or Louletano?
After analyzing the odds, team form, and head-to-head, we assign the following win probabilities: Vitoria de Sernache win25%, draw35%, Louletano win40%. The bookmakersโ average odds (home3.125, draw2.585, away2.675) imply a base probability of29.6% home,35.8% draw,34.6% away after removing the margin. We adjusted these slightly due to Louletanoโs better recent away form (3 wins in last5) and Vitoria de Sernacheโs inconsistent home results. The H2H advantage for the home side is minor, so the edge goes to Louletano. Therefore, Louletano is more likely to win.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds from two bookmakers show a clear expectation of a tight match. One bookmaker lists home3.55, draw1.92, away3.05; another offers home2.70, draw3.25, away2.30. The lowest odds are frequently on the draw and away win, suggesting bookmakers see Louletano as the favorite. Based on all statistics and the probability breakdown, our prediction is: Louletano is the more probable winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out.
Vitoria de Sernache vs Louletano โ FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria de Sernache vs Louletano?
- Louletano is the favorite with a 40% win probability, compared to 25% for Vitoria de Sernache. A draw is also likely at 35%. Based on recent away form and overall team strength, Louletano is expected to edge this match.
- What is the win probability for Louletano?
- Louletano has a 40% chance of winning the match. This is based on bookmakers' odds and an adjustment for their strong away form (three wins in last five away games) and a slightly superior league position.
- When is the Vitoria de Sernache vs Louletano match?
- The match is scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Tercera Liga fixture in Portugal.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Two bookmakers provide odds. The first offers home 3.55, draw 1.92, away 3.05. The second lists home 2.70, draw 3.25, away 2.30. The draw is priced as the most likely outcome by both.