Lublinianka Wieniawa - Avia Swidnik II prediction 4 September 2026

Our Lublinianka Wieniawa vs Avia Swidnik II prediction for the IV Liga clash on September 4, 2026, at 15:00 local time gives the home side a 55% chance of winning. Lublinianka Wieniawa enters the match as the clear favorite, backed by solid recent form and a perfect head‑to‑head record. Bookmakers agree, pricing a home win at 1.91.

Team Form

Lublinianka Wieniawa’s last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss (D‑W‑L‑W‑W). The run started with a 2‑2 home draw against Bug Hanna on April 22, followed by a 3‑1 away win at MKS Janowianka on March 22. A 1‑0 defeat at Naprzod Jedrzejow on June 19, 2025, broke the momentum, but the side bounced back with back‑to‑back away victories: 5‑4 at Avia Swidnik II on May 10, 2025, and 3‑2 at Orleta Radzyn Podlaski on June 10, 2023. In that span, Lublinianka scored 13 goals and conceded 10, showing an attacking edge but some defensive vulnerability.

Avia Swidnik II has only one recent match on record – a 4‑5 home loss to Lublinianka Wieniawa on May 10, 2025. With so little data, the away team’s form remains largely unknown, but that single result highlights a defensive struggle against today’s opponents.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The teams have met once before, in the IV Liga on May 10, 2025. Avia Swidnik II hosted and lost 4‑5 to Lublinianka Wieniawa. That match produced nine goals and a narrow away win. Consequently, Lublinianka holds a 1‑0 head‑to‑head advantage, with no draws or wins for Avia Swidnik II. The high‑scoring nature of the previous encounter suggests another open game could be on the cards.

Lublinianka Wieniawa vs Avia Swidnik II Prediction

Win Probability: Lublinianka Wieniawa or Avia Swidnik II?

Using the available odds as a base, the inverse of the 1X2 prices (1.91 home, 4.00 draw, 2.88 away) gives implied probabilities of 46.7% for a Lublinianka win, 22.3% for a draw, and 31.0% for an Avia Swidnik II victory. Adjusting for Lublinianka’s superior recent form (three wins in five matches), the only head‑to‑head result (a 5‑4 away win), and the home advantage, we shift the probabilities significantly. The final calculated win probabilities are: Lublinianka Wieniawa 55%, draw 25%, Avia Swidnik II 20%. The home team’s consistency and proven ability to beat this opponent tip the balance firmly in its favor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds for this IV Liga match are: Lublinianka Wieniawa win at 1.91, draw at 4.00, and Avia Swidnik II win at 2.88. These numbers reflect the market’s expectation of a home win, with the draw priced as the least likely outcome. Based on the stats, the head‑to‑head record, and the adjusted win probabilities, our prediction is a Lublinianka Wieniawa victory. The 55% chance suggests a solid bet, though the previous high‑scoring affair hints at potential for goals and a possible draw if Avia can tighten up defensively. Nevertheless, Lublinianka Wieniawa is the most probable winner.