Ludogorets Razgrad II - Fratria prediction 15 September 2026

Our Ludogorets Razgrad II vs Fratria prediction for this B PFG match on Sep 15, 2026, at 16:00 points to a tight contest where the visitors hold a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Fratria has a 40% chance to win, a draw is at 40%, and Ludogorets Razgrad II has a 20% probability of taking all three points.

Team Form

Ludogorets Razgrad II come into this match with inconsistent results. Their last five outings show one win, two draws, and two losses (W, L, D, D, L). The most recent match was a 3-0 away victory against Pirin Blagoevgrad on Sep 07, but prior to that they suffered a 1-0 defeat at Chernomorets Burgas and a 2-0 home loss to Vihren Sandanski. At home this season, they have managed just one draw and one loss in two B PFG fixtures.

Fratria, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches (D, D, W, D, W). They recorded a 2-2 home draw with Chernomorets Burgas on Sep 07, a 1-1 away draw at Hebar Pazardzhik, and a 1-0 home win over CSKA Sofia 2. Their away form in the league is solid: one win and two draws from three trips, with five goals scored and only three conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Fratria. In four previous meetings across all competitions, Ludogorets Razgrad II have failed to win (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). The most recent clash on Mar 15, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Before that, Fratria thrashed Ludogorets II 5-0 in September 2025, and the teams drew 2-2 in March 2025. Even a friendly in June 2025 saw Fratria win 3-1. In B PFG encounters, Fratria remain unbeaten with one win and two draws.

League Table Positions

Fratria sit 5th in the B PFG standings with 15 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), scoring 11 goals and conceding just 6. Ludogorets Razgrad II are down in 12th place with 11 points from 8 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), with a goal difference of 8:8. The away table shows Ludogorets II in 3rd spot thanks to their travels, but at home they have struggled, while Fratria’s away record ranks them 5th with 5 points from 3 games.

Win Probability: Ludogorets Razgrad II or Fratria?

After normalising the average bookmaker odds (home 3.68, draw 2.08, away 2.46) and adjusting for recent form and H2H dominance, we calculate the following win probabilities: Ludogorets Razgrad II – 20%, Draw – 40%, Fratria – 40%. The odds imply a draw is the most likely single outcome, but Fratria’s unbeaten run and historical edge tilt the balance toward the away side. Ludogorets II’s poor home form further reduces their chances. Overall, Fratria are the more probable winners, but a stalemate is almost equally likely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a closely matched affair. The best available 1X2 odds from the data are: home win at 3.90, draw at 2.05, and away win at 2.40. The draw is priced as the favourite outcome, which aligns with both teams’ recent tendency to share points. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a Fratria win or a draw, with a low-scoring game likely given both sides’ defensive records. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline appears realistic.