Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad prediction 31 October 2026

The Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad prediction centers on a 1st League clash on Oct 31 at 12:00. The bookmakers’ odds and the overall form of both sides point to Ludogorets Razgrad as the clear favorite, with a win probability estimated at 54% after normalizing odds and factoring in recent performance.

Team Form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv head into the match showing mixed results in their last five outings: D, W, W, D, W. The two draws came in the league, while the wins were split between cup and friendly contests. They have scored only 6 goals in 12 league matches this season, highlighting a persistent offensive struggle.

Ludogorets Razgrad’s form line reads L, W, W, W, W. The single loss was an away defeat to table-topping CSKA Sofia. Before that, they netted 16 goals across four wins in all competitions, demonstrating consistent firepower. This sharp attacking form makes them a formidable opponent even on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In 38 previous meetings, the away side has won 20 times, the home team just 8, with 10 draws. The most recent five encounters show a tight pattern: one Ludogorets win, three draws, and one Lokomotiv Plovdiv victory. The latest fixture, on Jul 18, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home win for Ludogorets. Overall, the H2H data suggests that while Lokomotiv Plovdiv can occasionally snatch a result, Ludogorets Razgrad have historically had the upper hand.

League Table Positions

Ludogorets Razgrad sit 3rd in the 1st League with 26 points from 11 matches (8 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their away record is strong: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from 5 trips. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 12th with 9 points from 12 games, winning only twice all season. At home they rank 7th with 8 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), which offers a small glimmer of resistance but little evidence they can trouble the title contenders.

Win Probability: Lokomotiv Plovdiv or Ludogorets Razgrad?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has an 18% chance of winning, a draw stands at 28%, and Ludogorets Razgrad holds a 54% chance. These figures stem from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 7.00, draw 2.20, away 1.85), normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted for the home team’s low-scoring form, Ludogorets’ superior league position, and the overwhelming historical success of the away team in this fixture. The numbers clearly make Ludogorets the side most likely to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Available 1X2 odds show Ludogorets Razgrad priced at 1.85 and 1.82, the draw at 2.20, and a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win at 7.00–7.50. Based on the stats, the Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad prediction points to an away win as the safest match outcome. While the head-to-head draws remind us that stalemates are possible, the visitors’ form and quality make them the rightful favorites in this Bulgarian 1st League encounter.