Luhacovice - Tj Stitna Nad Vlari prediction 3 October 2026

The Luhacovice vs Tj Stitna Nad Vlari prediction for this 5 Liga match on Oct 3, 2026, points to a home win. Based on the stats, Luhacovice have a 48% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 23% and Tj Stitna Nad Vlari at 29%. The match kicks off at 09:15 and the bookmakers' odds also reflect the hosts as favorites.

Team Form

Luhacovice come into this match with a mixed but recently positive home record. Their last five results show three wins and two losses (W, L, L, W, W). In their most recent outing on Sep 25, they beat Morkovice 2-0 away. Before that, a 3-0 defeat at Nevsova and a 3-2 home loss to Mladcova raised concerns, but back-to-back home wins over Napajedla (2-0) and Kunovice (4-3) have restored confidence. At home this season, Luhacovice have scored 8 goals in their last three home matches, showing attacking strength.

Tj Stitna Nad Vlari's form over the last five is identical in terms of wins and losses (W, W, W, L, L). They enjoyed a three-match winning streak in August and June, beating Velke Karlovice 4-1 at home, Napajedla 1-0 away, and Bystrice Pod Hostynem 3-1 at home. However, their last two away games ended in defeat – a 4-1 loss at Luhacovice in March and a 3-2 loss at Osvetimany in October 2025. The away side have struggled on the road recently, which could be a key factor.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Luhacovice. In the three previous meetings, all played at Luhacovice, the hosts have won twice and drawn once. The most recent clash on Mar 28, 2026, ended 4-1 to Luhacovice. The other results were a 2-1 win in October 2024 and a 2-2 draw in May 2022. Tj Stitna Nad Vlari have never beaten Luhacovice away, and the aggregate score across these three matches is 8-4 in favor of the home side.

Win Probability: Luhacovice or Tj Stitna Nad Vlari?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities: Luhacovice 48%, draw 23%, Tj Stitna Nad Vlari 29%. The base probabilities were derived from the bookmaker odds (1.95, 3.90, 2.90) by removing the margin, then adjusted slightly upward for the home side due to their dominant H2H record and home advantage. Luhacovice are the clear favorites to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers are: Luhacovice win at 1.95, draw at 3.90, and Tj Stitna Nad Vlari win at 2.90. These odds imply a home win probability around 46% before adjustments, confirming the market's view. Taking into account the recent form and the historical edge, our Luhacovice vs Tj Stitna Nad Vlari prediction is a home victory. The hosts have been strong at home, and the visitors' away form is unconvincing. A 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline looks plausible based on past meetings.