Luis Angel Firpo - CD Inca prediction 18 October 2026

Luis Angel Firpo vs CD Inca prediction for the Primera Division match on October 16, 2026. Luis Angel Firpo is the strong favorite with a 65% win probability, while CD Inca has just a 10% chance of an upset. The match kicks off at 02:00 local time in El Salvador's top flight.

Team Form

Luis Angel Firpo comes into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W-D-W-W-D). They secured a 3-2 away win against Municipal Limeno on October 11, followed by a 2-2 draw at Alianza FC El Salvador on October 4. A 3-0 victory at Fuerte San Francisco on October 1, a 2-0 home win over CD Aguila El Salvador on September 27, and a 0-0 home draw with Cacahuatique on September 24 complete the run. The team has scored 10 goals in these five matches and looks confident.

CD Inca's recent form is mixed (L-D-W-D-W). They suffered a heavy 1-4 home loss to CD Platense Zacatecoluca on October 10, then drew 1-1 at CD FAS on October 5. A 2-1 home win against Municipal Limeno on October 2 was followed by a 1-1 draw at Alianza FC El Salvador on September 27, and a 2-1 home win over Fuerte San Francisco on September 19. Away from home, they have managed only one win in seven league matches this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is limited to a single meeting. On August 16, 2026, CD Inca hosted Luis Angel Firpo in a Primera Division match that ended 0-0. That draw is the only result so far, with no wins for either team. The small sample makes it difficult to draw strong conclusions, but the clean sheet for CD Inca at home suggests they can be organized defensively.

League Table Positions

Luis Angel Firpo sits 2nd in the overall Primera Division standings with 28 points from 14 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 26 goals and conceded only 11, giving them the best goal difference in the league. At home, they are the top-ranked side with 19 points from 8 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 16 and conceding just 3.

CD Inca is 9th in the table with 16 points from 15 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses). Their goal difference is -14 (13 scored, 27 conceded). On the road, they have collected only 5 points from 7 away games (1 win, 2 draws, 4 losses), with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. The gap in quality and home advantage strongly favors Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability: Luis Angel Firpo or CD Inca?

Based on the available odds, team form, league positions, and home/away records, the win probabilities are as follows:

• Luis Angel Firpo win: 65%
• Draw: 25%
• CD Inca win: 10%

The calculation starts with the bookmakers' 1X2 odds (average implied probabilities: 63% home, 26% draw, 11% away). We then adjust for Luis Angel Firpo's excellent recent form (unbeaten in five, three wins) and their dominant home record (6-1-1, 16:3 goals). CD Inca's poor away form (1-2-4, 5:13 goals) and lower table position reduce their chances further. The only head-to-head match was a draw, but that was at CD Inca's ground; at home, Luis Angel Firpo is a much stronger side. Therefore, Luis Angel Firpo has a clear probability edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Luis Angel Firpo as the overwhelming favorite. The best available 1X2 odds are around 1.25 for a home win, with the draw priced between 2.50 and 4.57, and an away win for CD Inca at 7.00 to 7.90. These odds reflect the gulf in class and home advantage.

Based on the stats, Luis Angel Firpo is the most likely winner. The combination of strong form, a near-perfect home record, and CD Inca's struggles on the road points to a home victory. A draw cannot be ruled out given the only H2H result, but the probability is low. Our prediction is a Luis Angel Firpo win.