Municipal Limeno - Luis Angel Firpo prediction 11 October 2026

The Municipal Limeno vs Luis Angel Firpo prediction for October 11, 2026, points towards an away win for Luis Angel Firpo, who enter this Primera Division clash as the favorite with a 44% win probability. The match kicks off at 02:00 at Municipal Limeno's ground, and based on recent form and league standings, the visitors hold a clear advantage.

Team Form

Municipal Limeno are in a terrible run of form, losing four of their last five matches. Their last five results read: L, L, L, L, W. They suffered a 2-1 defeat at CD Platense Zacatecoluca on Oct 4 and a 2-1 loss at CD Inca on Oct 2. The only bright spot was a 2-0 away win at Fuerte San Francisco on Sep 13.

Luis Angel Firpo are in much better shape, unbeaten in their last five with results of D, W, W, D, W. They drew 2-2 at Alianza FC El Salvador on Oct 4, thrashed Fuerte San Francisco 3-0 away on Oct 1, and beat CD Aguila El Salvador 2-0 at home on Sep 27. This strong run gives them significant momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two sides is close, with Luis Angel Firpo holding a slight edge. In 45 meetings, Luis Angel Firpo have won 14 times, Municipal Limeno have won 10, and 21 matches ended in a draw. Recent encounters favor the away side: Luis Angel Firpo won the last meeting 2-0 on Aug 9, 2026, and also won 3-1 away on Jul 20, 2025. Municipal Limeno's last win in this fixture was a 2-1 home victory on Mar 15, 2026.

League Table Positions

Luis Angel Firpo sit 2nd in the Primera Division overall standings with 25 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 23 goals and conceded only 9. Municipal Limeno are down in 7th place with 17 points from 14 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses), with a goal difference of 0 (19 scored, 19 conceded). The 8-point gap between the sides reflects their contrasting campaigns.

Win Probability: Municipal Limeno or Luis Angel Firpo?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Municipal Limeno has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Luis Angel Firpo has a 44% chance of winning. The odds imply a high probability of a draw, but Luis Angel Firpo's superior form and higher league standing tilt the balance in their favor. Municipal Limeno's poor run of four losses in five games significantly reduces their chances, making the away side the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market are: Municipal Limeno win at 3.35, the draw at 2.08, and Luis Angel Firpo win at 2.82. The odds suggest the draw is the most likely single outcome, but Luis Angel Firpo are priced as favorites over the home side. Based on the stats, our Municipal Limeno vs Luis Angel Firpo prediction is an away win, with Luis Angel Firpo's strong form and defensive record giving them the edge.