Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Lujan Reserves prediction 14 October 2026

Read our Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Lujan Reserves prediction for the Primera C Metropolitana Reserve fixture on October 14, 2026, at 16:00. Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves enter as the slight favorite at home with a 36% chance to win, while Lujan Reserves hold a 34% probability, and a draw sits at 30%. All facts are drawn from the latest team form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds.

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Lujan Reserves Team Form

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves are in superb form with a record of four wins and one draw in their last five matches (W-W-D-W-W). In their most recent outing on Oct 6, they defeated CA Atlas Reserves 1–0 away. Before that, they crushed CSCyD Muniz Reserves 6–1 at home on Sep 30. A 2–2 away draw against Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves on Sep 22 was the only blip, followed by a comfortable 3–0 home win over Deportivo Espanol Reserves on Sep 17. Their run also includes a 4–1 away victory against Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves on Sep 8, underlining strong attacking output.

Lujan Reserves have also collected four wins and one loss (W-L-W-W-W). They secured a 1–0 home win against Justo Jose Urquiza Reserves on Oct 6. The sole defeat was a 3–0 away loss to Argentino de Rosario Reserves on Oct 1. Prior to that, they beat CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 3–0 at home on Sep 22, followed by a 2–0 away win at Puerto Nuevo Reserves on Sep 17, and a 1–0 home victory over Sportivo Barracas Reserves on Sep 8. Lujan’s away form is mixed, with two wins and one defeat in their last three road trips.

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Lujan Reserves Head-to-Head Record

The teams have met twice. Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves won 1–0 at home on Jun 24, 2025. Lujan Reserves returned the favor with a 1–0 home victory on Sep 30, 2025. So the head-to-head stands at one win apiece (1–0–1), with no draws. Each side has protected its home turf so far.

Win Probability: Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves or Lujan Reserves?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following match outcome probabilities: Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves win – 36%, Draw – 30%, Lujan Reserves win – 34%. The home side’s perfect recent home form (two dominant wins) and their previous home victory in this fixture give them a narrow edge. Bookmaker odds implied an away-favorite scenario after removing the margin, but after adjusting for Deportivo’s hot streak and the home advantage, they become the most probable single outcome. The match is closely balanced, and a draw is a realistic possibility at 30%.

Odds & Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Lujan Reserves Prediction

Available bookmaker odds show two distinct views. One bookmaker prices a home win at 3.40, a draw at 2.35, and an away win at 2.45. Another offers 3.25 for the home side, 3.50 for the draw, and 1.90 for Lujan Reserves. The market is divided, but the best outright odds suggest value on the home win or the draw. Taking all the stats into account—Deportivo’s flawless recent home displays, Lujan’s heavy away loss, and the perfectly balanced H2H—our Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Lujan Reserves prediction is a home win or draw double chance. The most likely scoreline is a narrow home victory, but a stalemate cannot be ruled out.