Carpi - Lumezzane prediction 17 October 2026
Carpi
Lumezzane
AlcioneCarpiCarpiLumezzaneUS PergoletteseCarpiPro VercelliCarpiCarpiArzignano ValchiampoNovaraCarpiCarpiACD OspitalettoCarpiCittadellaAlbinoleffeCarpiCarpiPro VercelliCarpiJuventus U23BresciaCarpiCarpiPianeseMantovaCarpiCarpiPistoieseUS PergoletteseLumezzaneCarpiLumezzaneJuventus U23LumezzaneLumezzaneAlbinoleffeLumezzaneFolgore CarateseDolomiti BellunesiLumezzaneLumezzaneNovaraLumezzaneRenateCittadellaLumezzaneLumezzaneGiana ErminioACD OspitalettoLumezzaneLumezzaneRenateLumezzaneCrema 1908CremoneseLumezzaneCittadellaLumezzane- 21'EventS. Nwachukwu
- 25'EventG. Anatriello
- 49'EventM. Figoli
CarpiLumezzane| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18:6 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Trento Calcio 1921 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17:6 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  ACD Ospitaletto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  US Pergolettese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:17 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Desenzano Calvina | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Pro Vercelli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 |  Giana Erminio | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Novara | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 |  Renate | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
Lumezzane vs Carpi Prediction (Oct 17)
Looking for a Lumezzane vs Carpi prediction? The Serie C match is set for October 17, 2026, at 13:30. Based on recent form and bookmaker odds, the draw is the most probable outcome at 40%, while Lumezzane has a 35% chance of winning away, making them slight favourites over Carpi (25%).
Team Form
Carpi come into this fixture on a poor run. Their last five matches read L, L, L, D, D. They lost 2-1 away at US Pergolettese, 2-0 away at Pro Vercelli, and suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Arzignano Valchiampo. Two 2-2 draws followed against Novara (away) and ACD Ospitaletto (home). Carpi have conceded at least two goals in each of those five games.
Lumezzaneโs form is considerably better, with D, W, L, W, D across the same period. They drew 0-0 away at Juventus U23, beat Albinoleffe 3-2 at home, lost 2-1 at home to Folgore Caratese, won 2-1 away against Dolomiti Bellunesi, and drew 0-0 at home with Novara. Notably, Lumezzane are unbeaten in their last two away matches (1 win, 1 draw).
Head-to-Head Record
There is no previous head-to-head record between Lumezzane and Carpi (0 wins for Lumezzane, 0 draws, 0 wins for Carpi). This will be their first meeting in any competition.
League Table Positions
In the Serie C standings, Lumezzane sit 10th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins,2 draws,3 losses). Carpi are outside the top 12, indicating a significantly lower position in the table.
Win Probability: Lumezzane or Carpi?
Bsed on the odds, recent form, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
- Carpi win: 25%
- Draw: 40%
- Lumezzane win: 35%
Though bookmakersโ implied odds suggest a draw is the most likely result, Lumezzaneโs superior form and higher league ranking push their win probability clearly above Carpiโs. The visitors are the more likely team to take all three points if a winner emerges.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds from bookmakers are: Carpi to win at 3.15, the draw at 2.12, and Lumezzane to win at 2.78. These odds make the draw the betting favourite on paper. Taking into account the stats and form, we expect a tight contest where a draw is the most realistic outcome, but Lumezzane look well-placed to snatch a narrow win. Our match prediction is a draw or an away victory, with Lumezzane having the edge in the win probability.
Lumezzane vs Carpi โ FAQ
- Who will win Lumezzane vs Carpi?
- Based on our probability model, Lumezzane has a 35% chance to win, Carpi a 25% chance, and a draw is at 40%. While no single outcome is overwhelmingly likely, Lumezzane are more probable winners than Carpi.
- What is the win probability for Lumezzane?
- Lumezzaneโs win probability is 35%, driven by their better recent form (2 wins,2 draws,1 loss) and higher league position (10th) compared to Carpi, who are below 12th.
- When is the Lumezzane vs Carpi match?
- The Serie C match between Lumezzane and Carpi is scheduled for October 17, 2026, kicking off at 13:30 local time.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current odds are: Carpi to win at 3.15, a draw at 2.12, and Lumezzane to win at 2.78. These prices reflect the bookmakersโ view that a draw is the most likely result.