US Pergolettese - Lumezzane prediction 25 October 2026

Our Lumezzane vs US Pergolettese prediction for the Serie C match on January 10, 2026, at 16:30 UTC points to an away win. After evaluating form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we give US Pergolettese a 40% win probability, while Lumezzane has 30% and the draw 30%.

Team Form

Lumezzane come into this match with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 1–0 defeat away to Cittadella on May 6, 2026. Before that, they drew 0–0 at home to Alcione, thrashed Virtus Verona 4–1, and shared the points in a 2–2 draw at Lecco. A 1–0 home win over Brescia on April 11 completed the sequence.

US Pergolettese also show two wins, two draws, and one loss from their last five matches. They beat Lecco 3–0 at home on April 25, 2026, drew 0–0 at Vicenza, and played a 2–2 home draw with Virtus Verona. A 3–0 defeat at Albinoleffe on April 6 was followed by a 2–1 home win over Pro Patria on March 28.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head between these sides, the home team has won twice, the away team three times, and there have been two draws. The last five meetings show a clear pattern: US Pergolettese won 2–3 at Lumezzane in August 2025, 1–0 at home in March 2025, and 0–2 away in October 2024. Lumezzane’s only recent success was a 0–1 away win in January 2024. The away side has claimed the points in four of those five contests.

League Table Positions

Lumezzane sit 7th in the Serie C overall standings with 53 points from 37 games (13 wins, 14 draws, 10 losses). They have scored 42 goals and conceded 38. US Pergolettese are not among the top 12 teams in the available table, indicating a lower position. Lumezzane’s home form is not listed in the top eight, which suggests they have been less dominant on their own ground.

Win Probability: Lumezzane or US Pergolettese?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Lumezzane 30%, draw 30%, US Pergolettese 40%. The away team’s edge comes from the head-to-head trend — US Pergolettese have won three of the last five meetings and the overall away-win tally is higher than home wins. Both teams share similar recent form (W2 D2 L1), but Lumezzane’s modest home record and the visitors’ strong H2H results tilt the balance. The draw also has a solid chance, given the frequent stalemates in both sides’ recent matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available in the provided data. Based strictly on the stats, US Pergolettese appear the most likely winner. The numbers suggest a tight contest, but the away side’s historical advantage at Lumezzane makes them the smart prediction. Our final Lumezzane vs US Pergolettese prediction is an away victory, with the draw as a viable alternative for betting tips.