Malta Women - Luxembourg Women prediction 9 October 2026

Malta Women vs Luxembourg Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on October 9, 2026. Kick-off is at 18:00 local time at Malta's home ground. Malta Women are the clear favorites with a 49% win probability, according to bookmaker odds and historical data.

Team Form

Both teams enter this friendly in dreadful shape. Malta Women have lost their last five matches, all in World Cup Qualification Women:

• 0-3 home vs Turkey Women (Jun 9)
• 1-6 away vs Switzerland Women (Jun 5)
• 2-4 home vs Northern Ireland Women (Apr 18)
• 0-4 away vs Northern Ireland Women (Apr 14)
• 1-4 home vs Switzerland Women (Mar 7)

Luxembourg Women have suffered the same fate, also losing five straight in the same competition:

• 0-7 home vs Belgium Women (Jun 9)
• 0-6 away vs Belgium Women (Jun 5)
• 1-3 home vs Israel Women (Apr 18)
• 0-6 away vs Israel Women (Apr 14)
• 0-7 away vs Scotland Women (Mar 7)

Neither side has managed a positive result recently, making head-to-head history a decisive factor.

Head-to-Head Record

Malta Women and Luxembourg Women have met twice before, both in February 2023 in this same Friendly International Women category. Malta won both encounters: 3-1 on February 20 and 2-1 on February 17. The home side thus holds a perfect 2-0 H2H advantage, with 0 draws and 0 away wins for Luxembourg.

Win Probability: Malta Women or Luxembourg Women?

We calculated outcome probabilities by normalizing the implied probabilities from five bookmakers' 1X2 odds, removing the overround. The base odds give Malta Women about 49% chance, a draw 32%, and Luxembourg Women 19%. Although both teams are in equally poor form, Malta's home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and odds favouritism push their win probability higher. The draw is a realistic possibility given the teams' scoring struggles, but an away win remains a long shot.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers consistently price Malta Women as favourites. Across five odds sets, a home win is offered between 1.65 and 1.70, the draw varies from 2.18 to 4.03, and an away victory is priced from 4.00 to 5.00. The market sees Malta Women as the most likely winner, and the best available odds reflect that. Our match prediction: based on the stats, Malta Women are expected to secure a victory, possibly by a one- or two-goal margin similar to the 2-1 or 3-1 H2H results. A low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out, but bookmakers and historical data point strongly toward a home win.