Luxembourg Women - Montenegro Women prediction 13 October 2026

Our Luxembourg Women vs Montenegro Women prediction for October 13, 2026, points to a one-sided friendly in World football. Montenegro Women are overwhelming favorites for this Friendly International Women clash, holding a 75% win probability according to our calculations, while Luxembourg Women have just a 10% chance and the draw sits at 15%.

Team Form

Luxembourg Women are in terrible shape with five straight defeats:

• Malta Women 1–0 Luxembourg Women (Friendly International Women, Oct 9, 2026)
• Luxembourg Women 0–7 Belgium Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Jun 9, 2026)
• Belgium Women 6–0 Luxembourg Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Jun 5, 2026)
• Luxembourg Women 1–3 Israel Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Apr 18, 2026)
• Israel Women 6–0 Luxembourg Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Apr 14, 2026)

They scored only once across those five matches and conceded 23 goals, highlighting severe defensive problems.

Montenegro Women's recent form is mixed but includes a morale-boosting win:

• Montenegro Women 3–2 Bosnia-Herzegovina Women (Friendly International Women, Oct 9, 2026)
• Albania Women 5–2 Montenegro Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Jun 9, 2026)
• Montenegro Women 1–1 Wales Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Jun 5, 2026)
• Montenegro Women 1–4 Czech Republic Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Apr 18, 2026)
• Czech Republic Women 5–0 Montenegro Women (World Cup Qualification Women, Apr 14, 2026)

They collected four points from their last three matches, scoring six times in that spell, which gives them a clear edge over the hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, in the UEFA Champions League Women on April 11, 2017. Montenegro Women crushed Luxembourg Women 7–1 away from home. The massive gap in that H2H clash reinforces the favorite status of the visitors.

Win Probability: Luxembourg Women or Montenegro Women?

Bookmaker odds translate into strong implied probabilities: averaging the two available sets (6.00/5.25/1.33 and 8.69/4.70/1.29), the raw fair odds give Luxembourg Women about 12.7%, the draw 18.2%, and Montenegro Women 69.1%. After adjusting for Luxembourg's five-match losing run with a 1–23 goal difference, Montenegro's superior recent form, and the historical 1–7 drubbing, we docked further points from the hosts and the draw. Our final win probabilities are:

• Luxembourg Women win: 10%
• Draw: 15%
• Montenegro Women win: 75%

Montenegro Women are far more likely to take victory based on all available stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds as of now are: home win 8.69, draw 5.25, away win 1.29. Bookmakers see Montenegro Women as the clear favorite. Given Luxembourg Women's fragile defense and the gulf in quality seen both in recent matches and head-to-head, a comfortable away win is the most probable outcome. Our pick is a Montenegro Women victory, most likely by a multi-goal margin.