Paris FC - Lyon prediction 12 September 2026
Paris FC
Lyon
LensParis FCParis FCRennesLorientParis FCParis FCStrasbourgParis FCLyonMarseilleParis FCParis FCNiceTroyesParis FCAngersParis FCMainz 05Paris FCParis FCVfB StuttgartComo 1907Paris FCParis FCPSGRennesParis FCParis FCBrestPSGLyonTSG 1899 HoffenheimLyonLyonNiceLyonCrystal PalaceLensLyonLyonRennesAnderlechtLyonParis FCLyonLyonAuxerreLyonLe HavreLyonFenerbahceToulouseLyonFenerbahceLyonLyonSparta PragueSparta PragueLyon- 1K. TrappG
- 20M. LopezM
- 31S. CherguiD
- 14H. TraorรฉD
- 33P. Lees-MelouM
- 7P. PagisM
- 42D. CoppolaD
- 15L. KoleoshoM
- 10I. KebbalM
- 17A. CamaraM
- 9L. SinayokoF
- 5M. Mbow
- 16O. Nkambadio
- 4V. Marchetti
- 93J. Ikonรฉ
- 15M. Simon
- 25Y. Korรฉ
- 18O. Sissoko
- 23R. Matondo
- 8E. Zabi
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 23T. MortonM
- 19M. NiakhatรฉD
- 7E. NuamahM
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 8C. TolissoM
- 1D. GreifG
- 10P. ล ulcM
- 20F. BacherD
- 17L. OpendaF
- 16AbnerD
- 21R. Kluivert
- 40R. Descamps
- 11Keito Nakamura
- 99N. Nartey
- 26K. Boudache
- 18K. Merah
- 3N. Tagliafico
- 22Clinton Mata
- 6T. Tessmann
Paris FCLyonLyonParis FCParis FCLyonParis FCLyon| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 |  LOSC Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 |
Paris FC vs Lyon Prediction (Sep 12)
The Paris FC vs Lyon prediction points to a tight Ligue 1 contest at Stade Charlรฉty on Sep 12 at 18:45. Lyon enter the match as slight favorites with a 39% win probability, while Paris FC have a 33% chance and the draw is at 28%.
Team Form
Paris FC come into this match with a mixed run of results: W, D, L, L, D in their last five outings across all competitions. Their most recent Ligue 1 fixture was a convincing 3-0 home win over Nice, but friendlies against Angers and Mainz 05 ended in defeat. The home side has kept two clean sheets in their last three competitive matches.
Lyon's away form reads W, D, L, W, D over the same period. They beat Auxerre 3-1 and Toulouse 2-0 in Ligue 1, drew with Le Havre and Fenerbahce, and lost to Fenerbahce in Champions League qualification. Lyon have scored in four of those five games and conceded only once in their two league away wins.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between Paris FC and Lyon is perfectly balanced. All three previous meetings ended in draws: a 1-1 in March 2026, a 3-3 in October 2025, and a 1-1 in the Cup back in December 2021. None of the sides have managed a win in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Lyon sit 2nd in the Ligue 1 table with 7 points from 3 matches, having won 2 and drawn 1. Paris FC are 5th with 4 points from 2 games, winning 1 and drawing 1. At home, Paris FC have a perfect record (1 win, 3 goals scored, 0 conceded), while Lyon have also won their only away match 2-0. The table suggests Lyon edge it on overall points but both teams have been strong in their respective home/away records.
Win Probability: Paris FC or Lyon?
Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: Paris FC 33%, draw 28%, Lyon 39%. The bookmakersโ implied chances (after removing the margin) were around 36% for a home win, 26% for the draw, and 38% for an away win. We adjusted slightly in favor of Lyon due to their superior league standing and more consistent recent results, while the high frequency of draws in H2H lifts the draw probability to 28%. Lyon are the more likely winner, but the match is expected to be close.
Odds & Match Prediction
Selected bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Paris FC 2.76, draw 3.75, Lyon 2.60. The odds confirm Lyon as the favorite, but the small gap reflects the competitive nature of this fixture. Based on the stats, a draw or a narrow Lyon win appear the most probable outcomes. Our prediction leans towards Lyon to win, but with a high chance of a stalemate given the head-to-head history.
Paris FC vs Lyon โ FAQ
- Who will win Paris FC vs Lyon?
- Lyon are the slight favorites with a 39% win probability, compared to 33% for Paris FC and 28% for the draw. The match is expected to be very tight, and a draw is a realistic possibility given the head-to-head record of three draws in three meetings.
- What is the win probability for Lyon?
- Lyon have a 39% chance of winning, based on odds, form, and league positions. They are 2nd in Ligue 1 with 7 points and have a perfect away record so far, which gives them a slim edge over the home side.
- When is the Paris FC vs Lyon match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 12 at 18:45 local time. It is a Ligue 1 fixture and will be played at Stade Charlรฉty in Paris.
- What are the odds for Paris FC vs Lyon?
- Bookmakers have set the 1X2 odds at around 2.76 for a Paris FC win, 3.75 for the draw, and 2.60 for a Lyon victory. These odds indicate Lyon are the favorites, but the market expects a closely fought contest.