PSG - Lyon prediction 26 October 2026
PSG
LyonPSGLyonPSG
BarcelonaStrasbourgPSGManchester CityPSGPSGLe MansMarseillePSGBrestPSGPSGSlovan BratislavaPSGMonacoLOSC LillePSGRennesPSGPSGManchester UnitedMallorcaPSGPSGArsenal FCParis FCPSGPSGLyonTSG 1899 HoffenheimLyonLyonNiceLyonCrystal PalaceLensLyonLyonRennesAnderlechtLyonParis FCLyonLyonAuxerreLyonLe HavreLyonFenerbahceToulouseLyonFenerbahceLyonLyonSparta PragueSparta PragueLyon- Achraf Hakimidefender
- 20Desire Doueforward
- Fabian Ruizmidfielder
- Ferrรกn Torresforward
- Ilya Zabarnyidefender
- 15Joรฃo Nevesmidfielder
- Khvicha Kvaratskheliaforward
- Lucas Hernandezdefender
- 18Maghnes Aklioucheforward
- Matvey Safonovgoalkeeper
- Ousmane Dembรฉlรฉforward
- 23Vรญtinhamidfielder
- Willian Pachodefender
- David Boly
- Dro Fernaฬndez
- Lucas Beraldo
- Lucas Chevalier
- Lucas Digne
- Marquinhos
- 7Mika Godts
- Quentin Ndjantou
- Senny Mayulu
- Warren Zaรฏre-Emery
- 16Abner Viniciusdefender
- 8Corentin Tolissomidfielder
- Dominik Greifgoalkeeper
- 7Ernest Nuamahforward
- 24Julien Duranvillemidfielder
- 12Mads Bidstrupmidfielder
- 22Clinton Matadefender
- 19Moussa Niakhatedefender
- Pavel Sulcforward
- 45Remi Himbertforward
- 23Tyler Mortonmidfielder
- Zachary Athekamedefender
- 44Adil Hamdani
- 18Felix Bacher
- 26Kaรฏl Boudache
- 18Khalis Merah
- 99Noah Nartey
- 85Noham Kamara
- 40Remy Descamps
- 21Ruben Kluivert
- 6Tanner Tessmann
PSGLyonPSGLyonLyonPSGLyonPSGPSGLyonPSGLyonLyonPSGLyonPSGPSGLyonLyonPSGPSGLyonLyonPSGLyonPSGLyonPSGLyonPSGPSGLyonPSGLyonPSGLyonLyonPSGLyonPSGLyonPSGPSGLyonPSGLyon| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 |  LOSC Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 |
PSG vs Lyon Prediction (Oct 26)
The PSG vs Lyon prediction for October 26, 2026, points towards a home victory at the Parc des Princes. These two Ligue 1 rivals face off at 19:30, with PSG entering the match as the favorite. Based on current form, an exceptional head-to-head record, and home advantage, PSG holds a clear win probability advantage.
Team Form
PSG are in phenomenal form, having won their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent results include a 4-2 victory over Barcelona, a 3-1 away win at Strasbourg, and a 4-2 triumph at Manchester City. They haven't dropped points since mid-September against Marseille.
Lyon's form is more mixed with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. A heavy 3-0 defeat at TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in the UEFA Europa League on October 22 snapped a two-game winning streak. In Ligue 1, they bounced back with a 2-1 home win over Nice but lost their last away league fixture 2-1 at Lens.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors PSG. In 22 previous meetings, PSG have won 15 times, Lyon have won 6, and only 1 match has ended in a draw. PSG have won two of the last three encounters, including the most recent away fixture in November 2025 which finished Lyon 2-3 PSG. However, Lyon did secure a 2-1 victory at the Parc des Princes in April 2026, proving they can get a result in Paris.
League Table Positions
Both teams are tightly packed near the top of the Ligue 1 table. Lyon sit 4th with 14 points from 7 games, while PSG are right behind in 5th, also with 14 points from 7 matches. PSG have been superb on the road, topping the away standings with 11 points from 5 unbeaten trips. Lyon have been strong at home but have a more modest away record with 4 points from 3 games on their travels.
Win Probability: PSG or Lyon?
The calculated win probabilities favor the home side decisively. PSG have a 60% chance of winning, the draw stands at 22%, and Lyon has an 18% chance of an away victory. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds, which strongly back PSG (average of 1.52), and are adjusted further by their perfect five-match winning run. The head-to-head dominance and Lyon's inconsistent away form solidify PSG's status as the clear favorite to take all three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see PSG as the strong favorite. The match odds from a sample of bookies show home win odds ranging from 1.36 to 1.67, with a draw available around 2.75 to 5.75, and a Lyon win as high as 8.40. Based on the stats and winning momentum, the prediction is a PSG victory. The most likely outcome is a home win, and given the attacking quality on display, expect goals in this one.
PSG vs Lyon โ FAQ
- Who will win PSG vs Lyon?
- PSG are the clear favorites to win the match on October 26, 2026. The calculated probabilities give PSG a 60% chance of winning, compared to an 18% chance for Lyon and a 22% likelihood of a draw.
- What is the win probability for PSG?
- PSG have a 60% win probability against Lyon. This high percentage reflects their perfect five-match winning streak, historical dominance in the head-to-head with 15 wins in 22 meetings, and strong home advantage at the Parc des Princes.
- When is the PSG vs Lyon match?
- The Ligue 1 match between PSG and Lyon is scheduled for October 26, 2026. Kick-off is at 19:30 local time at the Parc des Princes in Paris.
- What are the odds for PSG vs Lyon?
- Match odds from various bookmakers show PSG as the strong favorite, with home win prices ranging from 1.36 to 1.67. The draw is quoted between 2.75 and 5.75, and an away win for Lyon is priced as high as 8.40.