| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 2 |
This EC Nova Cidade RJ vs Macae Esporte FC RJ prediction previews the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B1 match on Oct 21 at 19:00. Based on the bookmaker odds and recent form, the draw is the most likely outcome, carrying a 48% probability. EC Nova Cidade RJ has a 31% win probability, while Macae Esporte FC RJ sits at 21%.
EC Nova Cidade RJ have struggled for consistency, shown by their last five results: D, W, D, L, L. They secured a solid 3-0 home win against Campo Grande RJ but have suffered two losses, including a 2-1 defeat to Goytacaz FC RJ. Macae Esporte FC RJ also enter with a mixed record of L, L, W, D, L. Their recent 4-3 home victory over AA Carapebus RJ highlighted their attacking potential, but consecutive 1-0 away defeats to Serrano RJ and a 1-0 home loss to Goncalense Petropolis RJ point to underlying issues.
There is no previous head-to-head data available for these two teams. The absence of prior meetings makes form and league standing even more critical for this prediction.
A look at the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B1 standings reveals Macae Esporte FC RJ in 8th place with 7 points from 7 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8. EC Nova Cidade RJ are 9th with 6 points, also with 7 goals scored but 9 conceded. Home form is a concern for EC Nova Cidade RJ; they are not in the top eight home performers, having failed to win any of their 4 away games (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Macae Esporte FC RJ, despite overall struggles, rank 5th on home form with 7 points from 4 matches.
After analyzing the available data, our win probability calculation breaks down as follows: a draw has a 48% chance, an EC Nova Cidade RJ win is at 31%, and a Macae Esporte FC RJ win stands at 21%. The calculation is based on the inverse of the lowest available odds (2.88 home, 1.95 draw, 3.60 away), normalized to remove the bookmaker's margin, and then adjusted for EC Nova Cidade RJ's extremely poor away record and both teams' inconsistent form. The draw is the clear statistical favorite.
Bookmakers are offering odds of 2.88 for a home win for Macae Esporte FC RJ, 1.95 for the stalemate, and 3.60 for an EC Nova Cidade RJ away victory. The odds strongly point towards a tight contest, with the draw being the most favored outcome. Based on the stats, the head-to-head clean slate, and the low-scoring trends of both teams, the match is likely to be tight and tactical, with a stalemate being the most probable result. Macae Esporte FC RJ carries a slight home advantage, but their probability remains lower than that of the draw.