Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Modiin prediction 1 October 2026
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Ironi Modiin
Maccabi Ironi SderotMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ironi Kiryat GatMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Kfar SabaMaccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni ModiinHapoel Ironi Rishon LeZionMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Acre FCHapoel Kfar ShalemMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel AfulaHapoel RaananaMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Ironi Baqa Al GharbiyyeMaccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Migdal HaemeqIroni ModiinMaccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Kabilio JaffaIroni ModiinIroni ModiinHapoel AfulaMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni ModiinIroni ModiinSC AshdodMSK Kiryat YamIroni ModiinIroni ModiinBnei Yehuda Tel AvivMS Kafr QasimIroni ModiinIroni ModiinMaccabi Ironi Kiryat GatHapoel Kfar SabaIroni ModiinIroni ModiinMaccabi HerzliyaSC AshdodIroni ModiinHapoel RaananaIroni ModiinHapoel Nof HaGalilIroni ModiinIroni ModiinHapoel Acre FCMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni ModiinIroni ModiinMaccabi Ahi Nazareth| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Ashdod | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26:9 | +17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:18 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:13 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Hapoel Raanana | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 19 |
| 6 |  MSK Kiryat Yam | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 28:21 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Afula | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 |  MS Kafr Qasim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:12 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hapoel Kfar Saba | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Ironi Modiin | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 |  Maccabi Herzliya | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hapoel Acre FC | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0:28 | -28 | 1 |
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin Prediction (Oct 1)
Looking for a Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin prediction? The Liga Leumit match on October 1, 2026 at 17:00 sees home side Maccabi Ahi Nazareth as the favourite. Our analysis gives the hosts a 45% win probability against an outโofโform Ironi Modiin.
Team Form
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (last 5 matches: L-W-D-L-W)
- Sep 24: Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion 1โ0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (A)
- Sep 17: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1โ0 Hapoel Acre FC (H)
- Sep 10: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3โ3 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (A)
- Sep 6: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1โ2 Maccabi Bnei Raina (H)
- Aug 30: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1โ2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (A)
Two wins, one draw and two losses show inconsistency, but the team has scored 7 and conceded 7 in that span. Recent home form is mixed: a win and a defeat in the last two at home.
Ironi Modiin (last 5 matches: L-L-L-D-D)
- Sep 24: Ironi Modiin 1โ3 SC Ashdod (H)
- Sep 17: MSK Kiryat Yam 3โ2 Ironi Modiin (A)
- Sep 10: Ironi Modiin 2โ4 Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (H)
- Sep 7: MS Kafr Qasim 0โ0 Ironi Modiin (A)
- Aug 30: Ironi Modiin 1โ1 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat (H)
No wins in five attempts, with three straight losses before two draws. The defence has leaked 11 goals in these five games, while only scoring 6 โ a clear weakness heading into this fixture.
HeadโtoโHead Record
These sides have met only once, in a Cup tie on October 28, 2025. Ironi Modiin hosted the match but lost 1โ3 to Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. That gives the visitors a perfect H2H record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 defeats.
League Table Positions
After seven rounds of the Liga Leumit, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 12th in the overall standings with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10, for a goal difference of โ3. Ironi Modiin are not in the provided topโ12 table, meaning they are lower in the league ladder and almost certainly have fewer points. This strengthens the home sideโs case.
Win Probability: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or Ironi Modiin?
Using bookmaker odds as a base (averaged and normalised to remove the overround) we obtained a raw market chance of 39% for a home win, 34% for a draw and 27% for an away win. We then adjusted for recent form, H2H and league position:
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win: 45%
- Draw: 32%
- Ironi Modiin win: 23%
The hosts benefit from better form (1.4 points per game over the last five compared to 0.4 for the visitors), a headโtoโhead victory, home advantage and a higher league standing. Ironi Modiinโs winless run and defensive fragility make an away upset unlikely. Therefore, our conclusion is that Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are the more probable winners.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin Prediction & Betting Odds
Bookmakers also see Maccabi Ahi Nazareth as the favourite. Across several operators, the best home win odds range from 2.05 to 2.20, the draw sits between 2.15 and 3.40, and the away win between 3.00 and 3.40. The average odds imply a home win is the most likely result, but the market leaves room for the draw. Based on all the stats, our match prediction is a home victory for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin โ FAQ
- Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin?
- Our win probability model indicates Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have a 45% chance of winning, a draw has a 32% probability, and Ironi Modiin a 23% chance. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are the favourites, thanks to their better form, the home advantage and the headโtoโhead win.
- What is the win probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth hold a 45% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds adjusted for their stronger recent results (2โ1โ2 in the last five), the 3โ1 headโtoโhead win at Ironi Modiin and a league position that is higher than their opponentโs.
- When is the Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin match?
- The match is scheduled for October 1, 2026, with a 17:00 kickโoff local time. It will be played in the Israeli Liga Leumit.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Current average odds are around 2.10 for a Maccabi Ahi Nazareth home win, 2.25 for the draw and 3.20 for an Ironi Modiin away win. Some bookmakers offer a home victory as high as 2.20, while a draw can be backed up to 3.40.
- What is the headโtoโhead record between these teams?
- They have faced each other once, in a Cup game on October 28, 2025. Ironi Modiin lost 1โ3 at home, giving Maccabi Ahi Nazareth a 1โ0โ0 headโtoโhead advantage.