Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction 9 October 2026

The Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction for this Liga Leumit clash on Oct 9 at 14:00 points towards a home victory. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league standings, Maccabi Herzliya has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has a 23% chance.

Team Form

Maccabi Herzliya's recent form is inconsistent, with results showing L, L, D, W, D in their last five matches. In their most recent outing on Oct 1, they lost 1-0 away to SC Ashdod. Before that, they suffered a 3-1 home defeat to MSK Kiryat Yam on Sep 24. A 1-1 draw at Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv on Sep 17 and a 1-0 home win against MS Kafr Qasim on Sep 14 show they can be competitive but lack consistency.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's form is also poor, with L, L, W, D, L in their last five. They lost 2-1 at home to Ironi Modiin on Oct 1 and 1-0 away to Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion on Sep 24. Their only win in this period was a 1-0 home victory over Hapoel Acre FC on Sep 17. A 3-3 draw at Hapoel Kfar Shalem on Sep 10 showed attacking potential, but defensive frailties remain.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Maccabi Herzliya, who have 3 wins compared to Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's 1 win, with 0 draws. The most recent meetings were both 2-1 home wins for Maccabi Herzliya on Jan 9, 2018. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's sole victory was a 2-0 home win on Aug 28, 2017. An earlier clash on Feb 17, 2017, saw Maccabi Herzliya win 7-6 away in a remarkable goal-fest.

League Table Positions

In the Liga Leumit overall standings, Maccabi Herzliya sits 12th with 8 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), scoring 8 goals and conceding 11. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is not in the top 12, indicating they are lower in the table. Maccabi Herzliya's home form is not listed in the top 8, suggesting they have struggled at home. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's away form is also absent from the top 8, pointing to difficulties on the road.

Win Probability: Maccabi Herzliya or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Maccabi Herzliya has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has a 23% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home win at 1.74, draw at 2.18, away win at 3.50), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Adjustments were made for Maccabi Herzliya's superior head-to-head record (3 wins to 1) and home advantage, though their recent form and low league position temper the probability. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's poor away form and lower table standing reduce their chances significantly.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Maccabi Herzliya as the clear favorite. The best available odds are 1.74 for a home win, 2.18 for the draw, and 3.50 for an away win. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Maccabi Herzliya victory. The head-to-head dominance and home advantage outweigh both teams' recent struggles. A low-scoring match is possible, given both teams' modest goal tallies.