Maccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias prediction 19 September 2026

Maccabi Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias prediction for September 19, 2026, in the Israeli Premier League sees the home side as a strong favourite with a 61% win probability. The match kicks off at 17:00 at Sammy Ofer Stadium, and all data points towards a home victory.

Team Form

Maccabi Haifa are in excellent shape, winning four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their only recent defeat was a 3-1 loss away to Maccabi Tel Aviv in the league. The full recent sequence is:

• Sep 14: Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–4 Maccabi Haifa (W)
• Sep 05: Maccabi Haifa 2–1 Hapoel Petach Tikva (W)
• Aug 31: Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–1 Maccabi Haifa (L)
• Aug 22: Maccabi Haifa 2–1 Hapoel Ramat Gan (W)
• Jul 21: Maccabi Haifa 5–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba (Friendly, W)

Ironi Tiberias have been less consistent, recording two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five outings:

• Sep 15: Ironi Tiberias 2–2 Hapoel Jerusalem (D)
• Sep 05: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–2 Ironi Tiberias (W)
• Aug 29: Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2–0 Ironi Tiberias (L)
• Aug 22: Ironi Tiberias 1–0 Hapoel Petach Tikva (W)
• Jul 03: Ironi Tiberias 3–3 Maccabi Netanya (Friendly, D)

Head-to-Head Record

Maccabi Haifa are unbeaten in the four previous meetings, with a record of two wins and two draws against Ironi Tiberias. In Premier League clashes, Haifa won the most recent encounter 3-2 at home on January 31, 2026, while the two away fixtures both ended in draws (1-1 in October 2025 and 0-0 in December 2024). A 2018 friendly also finished 4-0 to Haifa. This H2H dominance reinforces the home favourite status.

League Table Positions

After four matchdays, Maccabi Haifa sit 2nd in the Premier League with 9 points (three wins, one defeat), scoring 9 goals and conceding 5. Ironi Tiberias are 5th with 7 points (two wins, one draw, one loss) and a goal difference of 5:5. At home, Haifa have a perfect record (2 wins, 4:2 goals), while Tiberias’ away form is mixed with one win and one loss (2:3 goals). The two‑point gap and home advantage give Haifa a clear edge in this fixture.

Win Probability: Maccabi Haifa or Ironi Tiberias?

Based on bookmaker odds averaged across six markets and adjusted for team form, head‑to‑head history, and league positions, the probabilities for this match are:

• Maccabi Haifa win: 61%
• Draw: 27%
• Ironi Tiberias win: 12%

The calculations start from the implied probabilities of the odds (home ~1.31, draw ~2.70, away ~6.00), which are then normalised to remove the bookmaker margin. Haifa’s strong home form, four wins in five recent games, and an unbeaten H2H record heavily support a high home win probability. Ironi Tiberias’ chances are limited by their inconsistent away results and the historical imbalance between the sides.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Maccabi Haifa as the clear favourite. The best available odds range from 1.29 to 1.33 for a home win, while the draw is priced between 2.62 and 5.00, and an away win pays 6.00 to 7.25. The consensus odds circle around 1.31 for Haifa, 2.70 for the draw, and 6.00 for Tiberias. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Maccabi Haifa victory, though the draw probability of 27% suggests some caution.