Maccabi Herzliya - MSK Kiryat Yam prediction 24 September 2026

The Maccabi Herzliya vs MSK Kiryat Yam prediction for the Liga Leumit clash on Sep 24 at 17:00 points to a closely contested affair. Based on bookmaker odds, recent form and head-to-head records, MSK Kiryat Yam emerges as the marginal favorite with a 34% win probability, while Maccabi Herzliya holds a 32% chance and a draw is rated at 34%.

Team Form

Maccabi Herzliya's last five matches across all venues read D, W, D, D, L. That run includes a 1-0 home win against MS Kafr Qasim, a 0-0 home draw with the same opponent, and a 0-2 home loss to Hapoel Kfar Saba. Goals have been scarce at both ends, with only three scored and four conceded in those five outings. At home this season, Herzliya have won just one of three Liga Leumit fixtures, drawing one and losing one, which underscores their inconsistency.

MSK Kiryat Yam's form is more volatile: W, L, W, L, L. They smashed Hapoel Acre FC 5-0 at home, toppled Ironi Modiin 3-2, but lost 2-4 at Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion and 2-3 at Hapoel Kfar Shalem. With 12 goals in five games, their attack is potent, yet 10 conceded highlights defensive frailties. Away from home this season, both league trips ended in defeat, suggesting they travel poorly.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times in Liga Leumit. Maccabi Herzliya are yet to win (0 victories, 2 draws, 1 loss). The most recent encounter, on Apr 27, 2026, finished 0-0. The last meeting at this venue saw MSK Kiryat Yam run out 3-1 winners on Jan 16, 2026. Kiryat Yam have never lost to Herzliya, giving them a psychological edge.

League Table Positions

After six rounds, MSK Kiryat Yam sit 7th with 9 points (3W, 0D, 3L), having scored 18 and conceded 12. Maccabi Herzliya occupy 8th on 8 points (2W, 2D, 2L), with a balanced 7 goals for and 7 against. The single-point gap masks a stark contrast in style: Kiryat Yam's games average 5.0 total goals, Herzliya's just 2.3. Home-away splits reveal Herzliya's home struggles (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss) and Kiryat Yam's away fragility (0 wins in two trips), making this a clash of vulnerable units.

Win Probability: Maccabi Herzliya or MSK Kiryat Yam?

Probabilities calculated from the average of six bookmakers' 1X2 odds, normalized to remove the margin and adjusted for form and H2H trends, give: Maccabi Herzliya win – 32%, draw – 34%, MSK Kiryat Yam win – 34%. The base odds implied a near three-way split, but Herzliya's poor home scoring output and Kiryat Yam's 100% unbeaten H2H record tilt the balance slightly toward the visitors. A draw carries the same probability, reflecting both teams' inability to dominate.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds market sees a very open contest. A selection of bookmaker prices shows home win odds ranging from 2.25 to 2.64, the draw from 2.15 to 3.38, and an away win from 2.41 to 3.25. The tightness of these numbers confirms the bookmakers' uncertainty. Based on all available stats, the safest prediction is a double chance on MSK Kiryat Yam or Draw, but punters seeking value may look at the draw given the high occurrence of stalemates in Herzliya's recent games (three in five).