Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat - MS Kafr Qasim prediction 28 September 2026

Our Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat vs MS Kafr Qasim prediction for the Liga Leumit match on 28 September 2026 sees the home side with a 38% win probability. The match kicks off at 17:00, and based on current form, odds, and league table positions, a tight contest is expected.

Team Form

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat have a mixed recent record: W, L, D, D, L in their last five fixtures. Their most recent outing was a 1‑0 away win at Hapoel Raanana on 17 September. Before that they lost 2‑0 at Hapoel Kfar Saba, drew 1‑1 at home with Maccabi Herzliya, drew 1‑1 at Ironi Modiin, and lost 2‑1 at home to Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion. Only one clean sheet in that run and a total of six goals scored and six conceded across six league matches underlines their inconsistency.

MS Kafr Qasim also show an identical form line of W, L, D, D, L. Their last match was a convincing 4‑2 home win against Hapoel Kfar Saba on 17 September. Before that they lost 1‑0 at Maccabi Herzliya, drew 0‑0 at the same opponent, drew 0‑0 at home with Ironi Modiin, and lost 2‑1 at Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion. The attacking output of nine goals in six games is slightly better than the home side’s, but the defensive record (seven conceded) is comparable.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no recent head‑to‑head records available between Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat and MS Kafr Qasim. The official stats show zero wins, zero draws, and zero losses for either side in past meetings. This lack of direct history makes the form analysis and odds even more important for any match prediction.

League Table Positions

In the Liga Leumit standings, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat sit 8th with 8 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses; goals 6‑6). MS Kafr Qasim are 11th with 7 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; goals 9‑7). Home and away splits reveal a clear contrast: Kiryat Gat have earned just 1 point from their two home fixtures (0‑1‑1), while Kafr Qasim have lost all three away games (0‑1‑2) on the road. The narrow one‑point gap in the table underlines how evenly matched these sides are.

Win Probability: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat or MS Kafr Qasim?

Using the available bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for team form, head‑to‑head data, and home/away performances, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

• Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat win: 38%
• Draw: 35%
• MS Kafr Qasim win: 27%

The average odds of 2.33 (home), 2.13 (draw), and 3.06 (away) implied probabilities of 35% home, 38% draw, and 27% away after removing the margin. We slightly raised the home team’s chance to 38% and dropped the draw to 35% because Kiryat Gat enjoy home advantage, while Kafr Qasim have failed to win any away fixture this season. However, the home side’s own poor home record (zero wins) prevents a bigger shift. The 27% away win probability reflects Kafr Qasim’s better goal difference but their clear travel weakness. Overall, this is a finely balanced matchup where a draw holds real value, but the edge lies with the home team.

Odds & Match Prediction

Multiple bookmakers offer comparable lines for this Liga Leumit clash. Among the six sets of odds, the home win is priced between 2.20 and 2.43, the draw between 2.00 and 3.25, and the away win from 2.80 to 3.35. The market sees a tight affair, with the draw often the shortest price. Based on the stats, our Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat vs MS Kafr Qasim prediction points towards a low‑scoring match where the home side might just edge it. A 1‑0 or 1‑1 scoreline appears the most realistic outcome. Backing the draw offers good value given both teams’ inconsistent form and the head‑to‑head unknown, but Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat’s need to improve at home could prove decisive.