Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa prediction 28 September 2026

The Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa prediction for the Liga Leumit match on September 28, 2026, at 17:00 points to a home-favoring contest. According to our analysis, Hapoel Kfar Shalem has a 52% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 28% and an away win for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa at 20%.

Team Form

Hapoel Kfar Shalem enters the match with inconsistent results in their last five outings (D, D, L, W, L). They have scored 10 goals but conceded 15, showing defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they remain unbeaten in three league matches this season (2 wins, 1 draw), with a 3-3 draw against Maccabi Ahi Nazareth and a 3-2 win over MSK Kiryat Yam.

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has struggled recently, with a record of L, L, W, L, L. They have only managed 3 goals in their last five matches, conceding 8. Their away form is mixed, with a 1-0 win at Hapoel Afula and a 0-1 loss at SC Ashdod in their last two trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record across all competitions shows 7 wins for Hapoel Kfar Shalem, 8 draws, and 5 wins for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. In the most recent five meetings, results have been alternating:

• Apr 17, 2026: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1 – 4 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
• Dec 12, 2025: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1 – 3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
• Jul 15, 2025: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2 – 2 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (Friendly)
• Feb 28, 2025: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 3 – 2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
• Oct 29, 2024: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4 – 1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Away wins have been frequent, and the last encounter at this venue ended in a heavy loss for the hosts.

League Table Positions

In the Liga Leumit standings, Hapoel Kfar Shalem sits in 10th place with 8 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 12 goals and conceded 15. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa is not present in the provided top 12 standings data.

Win Probability: Hapoel Kfar Shalem or Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?

The calculated outcome probabilities are: Hapoel Kfar Shalem win – 52%, draw – 28%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win – 20%. These figures start from the average bookmaker odds (home 1.74, draw 2.73, away 3.93) and are adjusted for Hapoel Kfar Shalem’s home advantage, their unbeaten home record, and the visitors’ poor recent results. Despite Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's heavy win in the last meeting here, the data points to the hosts being the more likely side to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Hapoel Kfar Shalem as the clear favorite, with the best available odds around 1.77 for a home win, 2.50 for a draw, and 3.50 for an away win. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a narrow victory for the home team, but defensive issues on both sides could also produce a high-scoring draw. Our prediction: Hapoel Kfar Shalem to win, with a correct score possibility of 2-1.