Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona prediction 17 October 2026

Our Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona prediction analyses the Israeli Premier League fixture on Oct 17 at 17:15 at Itztadion Netanya. With the home side priced as favourites across bookmakers, we see Maccabi Netanya's win probability at around 48%, a draw at32%, and an away win for Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona at20%.

Team Form

Maccabi Netanya Recent Results

Netanya's last five outings show mixed form: a1-1 draw at Hapoel Petach Tikva, a1-2 home loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv, a0-2 defeat at Hapoel Ramat Gan, a1-1 home draw with Hapoel Haifa, and a4-1 away win at Beitar Jerusalem.Overall that's one win, two draws and two losses, scoring seven and conceding seven.

Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona Recent Results

Kiryat Shmona are struggling badly, losing four consecutive matches before a2-0 home win over Ironi Tiberias. Their last five: a1-3 home loss to Hapoel Tel Aviv, a0-1 defeat at Hapoel Be'er Sheva, a0-4 home loss to Maccabi Haifa, a2-4 loss at Hapoel Jerusalem, and the2-0 home victory. This gives them one win and four losses, with a goal difference of -7.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically Maccabi Netanya lead the head-to-head with13 wins to Kiryat Shmona's6, plus4 draws. The last five meetings between these sides have been tight: Kiryat Shmona won1-0 at home in April2026, February2026 saw a1-1 draw in Netanya, November2025 ended2-1 to Netanya away, January2025 was a1-0 away win for Netanya, and March2023 saw a2-2 draw away. Maccabi Netanya have won two, drawn two and lost one of those five, suggesting a slight upper hand.

League Table Positions

Maccabi Netanya occupy9th place in the Israeli Premier League with6 points (1 win,3 draws,2 losses) and a goal record of7–7. Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona are not among the top12 clubs shown in the standings, indicating they are lower in the table and likely fighting near the relegation zone. The home side's away record is reasonably solid (1 win,1 draw,1 loss away), while Kiryat Shmona's away form has been poor.

Win Probability: Maccabi Netanya or Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona?

After processing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Maccabi Netanya win:48%
• Draw:32%
• Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona win:20%

The raw odds implied a home win probability around44%, but the visitors' terrible recent run (four defeats in five) and Netanya's better H2H record in their last encounters push the hosts higher. The draw remains a significant possibility given Netanya's own inconsistent form and two draws in their last three matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Selected bookmaker odds for the match:

• Maccabi Netanya win:1.75 to1.82
• Draw:2.25 to2.30
• Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona win:3.60 to3.80

Bookmakers clearly see Maccabi Netanya as favourites. Our analysis supports this, but the draw odds are relatively short, reflecting the home team's patchy form. A cautious prediction would be Maccabi Netanya to win or draw, but if forced to pick a single outcome, a home win offers value at the available prices.