Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction 19 September 2026

The Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction for this Israel Premier League match on September 19, 2026, at 17:00 points towards an away victory. Based on the available data, Maccabi Tel Aviv enters the contest as the clear favorite with a calculated win probability of 62%. Maccabi Netanya, despite playing at home, has a 19% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 19%.

Team Form

Maccabi Netanya's recent form has been inconsistent, with results of L, D, W, D, W in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away defeat against Hapoel Ramat Gan on Sep 14. At home, they drew 1-1 with Hapoel Haifa on Sep 07 and played a 0-0 draw with Bnei Sakhnin on Aug 24.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has been in strong form, recording W, W, D, W, L in their last five. They secured an impressive 4-1 away win against Hapoel Be'er Sheva on Sep 07 and a 3-1 home victory over Maccabi Haifa on Aug 31. Their only recent blip was a 2-1 away loss to Lugano in the UEFA Conference League Qualification.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Maccabi Tel Aviv. In 36 previous meetings, Maccabi Netanya has won 5, Maccabi Tel Aviv has won 24, and 7 matches have ended in a draw. The last five encounters underscore this dominance, with Maccabi Tel Aviv winning four and drawing one. The most recent match on Dec 21, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw, but prior to that, Maccabi Tel Aviv recorded wins of 4-0, 6-1, 4-1, and 4-1.

League Table Positions

Maccabi Tel Aviv sits at the top of the Premier League table with 12 points from 4 matches, having won all 4 games and boasting a goal difference of +11 (16 scored, 5 conceded). Maccabi Netanya is in 8th place with 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss) and a goal difference of +1 (5 scored, 4 conceded). The 7-point gap and perfect record of the visitors highlight the gulf in current performance levels.

Win Probability: Maccabi Netanya or Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Maccabi Netanya win: 19%
• Draw: 19%
• Maccabi Tel Aviv win: 62%

These percentages are derived from the inverse of the best available bookmaker odds (home 4.50, draw 2.75, away 1.85), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted to reflect Maccabi Tel Aviv's dominant H2H record (24 wins in 36 matches) and their perfect league start compared to Maccabi Netanya's mid-table position. Maccabi Tel Aviv is significantly more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Maccabi Tel Aviv as the strong favorite. The best available odds for this match are: Maccabi Netanya at 4.50, a draw at 2.75, and Maccabi Tel Aviv at 1.85. Based on the stats, the away side's superior form and historical dominance make them the justified favorite. Our Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction is an away win for Maccabi Tel Aviv.