Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed - Hapoel Ironi Arraba prediction 24 September 2026

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba prediction for the League Alef match on Sep 24, 2026. Based on our analysis, Hapoel Ironi Arraba is the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed has a 30% chance and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed are in dreadful form, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches. They lost 2-4 at home to Hapoel Migdal Haemeq on Sep 18, followed by a 1-3 away defeat to Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik. Earlier, they suffered a 0-1 home loss to MS Tira and a 0-3 home cup defeat to Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. Their only point came from a 0-0 draw at Maccabi Ahi Nazareth back in February. The team has conceded 11 goals in these five games, scoring just 3.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba have also struggled, with four losses and one win in their last five outings. They were beaten 0-4 at home by Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik on Sep 19 and lost 0-1 at home to Beitar Nahariya. Their sole victory was a 2-1 away win at Hapoel Ironi Karmiel in February. They also lost 0-3 at home to Tzeirey Tamra and 1-3 away to Ironi Nesher. Arraba have scored only 3 goals in these five matches while conceding 12.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met three times in recent seasons, with Hapoel Ironi Arraba holding a clear advantage. The head-to-head record shows 0 wins for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, 1 draw, and 2 wins for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.

• Jan 16, 2026: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
• Sep 5, 2025: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 3–1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
• Nov 29, 2024: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Arraba are unbeaten in the last three encounters, winning twice and drawing once. The home team has never beaten Arraba in this fixture.

Win Probability: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed or Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. The bookmaker odds (home 2.10, draw 3.40, away 2.90) imply a 43% chance for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 31% for an away win after removing the margin. However, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed’s terrible form (0 wins in last 5) and poor H2H record (0 wins in 3) significantly reduce their chances. Hapoel Ironi Arraba, despite their own struggles, have a better H2H record and managed one win in their last five. Taking all factors into account, we adjust the probabilities to: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win 30%, draw 30%, Hapoel Ironi Arraba win 40%. Therefore, Hapoel Ironi Arraba are the more likely winners, but a draw is also a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this League Alef clash are: home win at 2.10, draw at 3.40, and away win at 2.90. Bookmakers initially see Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed as the favorite, but our analysis suggests that the away side has a better chance. Considering the head-to-head dominance and the home team’s lack of victories, Hapoel Ironi Arraba to win looks the value bet. Our prediction: Hapoel Ironi Arraba to win, but with a draw also highly possible. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline could be on the cards.