Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Jerusalem prediction 19 September 2026

The Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem prediction for this Israel Premier League match on Sep 19 at 16:30 points towards a home win, with Maccabi Petah Tikva having a 45% chance of victory. The match sees the 6th-placed hosts take on 9th-placed Hapoel Jerusalem, with the home side in better recent form.

Team Form

Maccabi Petah Tikva's recent form shows a mixed pattern with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (L, W, W, D, D). Their most recent outing was a 1-2 home defeat against Ironi Tiberias on Sep 05. Prior to that, they secured an impressive 2-1 away win at Bnei Sakhnin and a 2-1 home victory over Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona.

Hapoel Jerusalem's form is more concerning, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (W, L, L, D, L). They did win their last match 4-2 at home against Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, but suffered consecutive away defeats before that, including a heavy 2-5 home loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced. In their last four meetings, each team has won once, with two draws. The most recent encounter on Apr 26, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw when Hapoel Jerusalem hosted Maccabi Petah Tikva. However, when Maccabi Petah Tikva hosted on Jan 11, 2025, they secured a convincing 2-0 victory. The overall H2H record stands at 1 home win, 2 draws, and 1 away win.

League Table Positions

Maccabi Petah Tikva sit 6th in the Premier League table with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss), scoring 5 goals and conceding 4. Hapoel Jerusalem are 9th with 3 points from 3 matches (1 win, 2 losses), having scored 6 and conceded 8. The home side has a game in hand and a 3-point advantage. At home, Maccabi Petah Tikva have 3 points from 2 matches, while Hapoel Jerusalem have 3 points from 2 away games, though their away goal difference is -1 compared to the hosts' even home record.

Win Probability: Maccabi Petah Tikva or Hapoel Jerusalem?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Maccabi Petah Tikva has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Hapoel Jerusalem has a 25% chance. The home advantage, superior league position, and better recent form (two wins in their last three league games) make Maccabi Petah Tikva the favorites. Hapoel Jerusalem's inconsistent away form and defensive vulnerabilities (8 goals conceded in 3 games) reduce their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds reflect the balance of this fixture. The best available home win odds are 3.00, the draw is priced as low as 2.00, and an away win can be found at 3.75. The tight odds, particularly the short price on the draw, indicate that bookmakers see this as a closely contested match. Based on the stats, Maccabi Petah Tikva are the more likely winners, but the value may lie in the draw given the head-to-head history of two stalemates in four meetings.