Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction 14 September 2026

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction for the Premier League match on Sep 14, 2026, at 17:30 at Bloomfield Stadium. Based on the stats, Maccabi Tel Aviv is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Hapoel Tel Aviv has a 25% chance and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this derby with strong recent form: three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They thrashed Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4-1 away, beat Maccabi Haifa 3-1 at home, drew 1-1 with Lugano, demolished Hapoel Jerusalem 5-2 on the road, and lost 2-1 away to Lugano. That's 14 goals scored in five games, showcasing a potent attack.

Hapoel Tel Aviv have been solid if less explosive: two wins, two draws, and one loss. They beat Hapoel Ramat Gan 4-0 and Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 at home, drew 0-0 away at Hapoel Haifa, lost 1-0 at home to Atalanta, and drew 0-0 away at Atalanta. They've conceded just once in their last five outings, highlighting a tight defence.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head heavily favours Maccabi Tel Aviv: 16 wins, 11 draws, and only 1 win for Hapoel Tel Aviv. However, recent meetings have been tighter. The last five encounters produced one Maccabi Tel Aviv win, three draws, and one Hapoel Tel Aviv victory. The most recent clash on May 9, 2026, ended 1-1. Earlier in 2026, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 1-0 at home and lost 2-1 at home, while two other matches finished 1-1 and 0-0.

League Table Positions

Both sides are unbeaten in the Premier League. Maccabi Tel Aviv sit top with 9 points from 3 wins, scoring 12 goals and conceding 4. Hapoel Tel Aviv are second with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw), having scored 7 and conceded none. At home, Maccabi Tel Aviv have one win (3-1 vs Maccabi Haifa). Hapoel Tel Aviv's only away game was a 0-0 draw at Hapoel Haifa, so they are yet to score on the road.

Win Probability: Maccabi Tel Aviv or Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Hapoel Tel Aviv has a 25% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 2.40, draw 2.40, away 2.88), adjusted for home advantage, recent form, head-to-head history, and league positions. Maccabi Tel Aviv's attacking firepower and top spot give them the edge, but Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record and the derby nature keep a draw very much in play.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds are 2.40 for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win, 2.40 for the draw, and 2.88 for an away win. Bookmakers see a close contest with little to separate the sides. Based on the stats, Maccabi Tel Aviv are the most likely winners, but a draw is a strong possibility. Our Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, but with caution given the visitors' defensive strength.