Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne prediction 25 October 2026

Looking for a Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne prediction? The Cup match on Aug 28, 2026, at 12:00 UTC sees Maccabi Yavne as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability. Hapoel Marmorek, despite home advantage, faces an uphill battle according to the latest odds and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Hapoel Marmorek come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W2, D3). Their most recent results show three consecutive draws: 1-1 at home against Maccabi Ashdod, 1-1 away at Hapoel Herzliya, and 1-1 at home against Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi. Prior to that, they secured back-to-back away wins at Beitar Yavne (2-0) and FC Holon Yermiyahu (2-1).

Maccabi Yavne have been in slightly better form, winning three of their last five (W3, D1, L1). They are coming off a high-scoring 4-2 away victory at MK Kfar Saba 1928, a 1-1 home draw with FC Holon Yermiyahu, and a 2-1 home win over Shimshon Tel Aviv. Their only recent defeat was a 2-1 loss at Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, but they bounced back immediately.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record between these sides is perfectly balanced: 4 wins for Hapoel Marmorek, 4 for Maccabi Yavne, and 4 draws. However, recent meetings heavily favor the away side. In the last five encounters, Maccabi Yavne have won three and drawn two. The most recent clash on Dec 18, 2025, ended 2-0 to Maccabi Yavne. Other notable results include a 5-0 thrashing by Maccabi Yavne in September 2023 and a 4-1 win in February 2024. Hapoel Marmorek have failed to beat Maccabi Yavne in any of the last five H2Hs.

Win Probability: Hapoel Marmorek or Maccabi Yavne?

Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Hapoel Marmorek win: 25%
• Draw: 25%
• Maccabi Yavne win: 50%

The bookmakers' odds imply a 46.9% chance for an away win, but Maccabi Yavne's dominant recent H2H record and stronger form push that figure slightly higher. Hapoel Marmorek's home advantage and unbeaten run keep them in the contest, but the probability clearly points to an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are: Hapoel Marmorek 3.50, Draw 3.25, Maccabi Yavne 1.91. Bookmakers see Maccabi Yavne as the strong favorite. Taking into account the stats, recent form, and H2H dominance, our prediction is a win for Maccabi Yavne. A draw cannot be ruled out given Hapoel Marmorek's three consecutive stalemates, but the value lies with the away side.