Scarborough Athletic - Macclesfield Town prediction 6 October 2026

Scarborough Athletic vs Macclesfield Town prediction: The FA Cup replay on October 6, 2026, at 19:45 at Flamingo Land Stadium is expected to be a tight contest. Based on odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 45% probability, while Macclesfield Town holds a slight edge to win at 30% over Scarborough Athletic's 25%.

Team Form

Scarborough Athletic's recent form has been underwhelming. In their last five matches, they have recorded four draws and one loss (D,D,D,D,L). Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away at Macclesfield Town in the FA Cup on October 3. At home, they drew 0-0 with Merthyr Town and lost 0-1 to AFC Telford United in their last two home games.

Macclesfield Town, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five outings, with two wins and three draws (D,W,W,D,D). They defeated Harborough Town 1-0 at home and Redcar Athletic 2-1 away in the FA Cup, while drawing 1-1 at Spennymoor Town and 0-0 at home to Scarborough Athletic. This run suggests they come into the match with more momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is remarkably balanced. All four previous meetings have ended in draws. The most recent encounter was just three days ago, a 2-2 draw in the FA Cup at Macclesfield's ground. The other three matches, all in the National League North, finished 0-0, 2-2, and 1-1. This history indicates that neither team has been able to dominate the other.

Scarborough Athletic vs Macclesfield Town Prediction: Win Probability

We have calculated the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The odds imply a home win chance of around 31%, a draw at 39%, and an away win at 30%. However, adjusting for Scarborough's winless streak and Macclesfield's unbeaten run, we shift the probabilities slightly: Scarborough Athletic win 25%, draw 45%, Macclesfield Town win 30%. The draw is the clear standout, reflecting the teams' tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering odds of approximately 2.85 for a Scarborough Athletic victory, 2.12 for the draw, and 2.62 for a Macclesfield Town win. These odds confirm that the draw is the favorite outcome in the 1X2 market. Our prediction aligns with the bookmakers: a draw is the most probable result. However, if you are looking for a winner, Macclesfield Town appears to have a slightly better chance based on their superior recent form.