PSM Makassar U20 - Madura United U20 prediction 10 October 2026

The PSM Makassar U20 vs Madura United U20 prediction for this Liga 1 U20 fixture on October 10, 2026, at 08:00 points to a home win. PSM Makassar U20 enters the match as the favorite based on recent form and bookmaker odds, with an estimated 55% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

PSM Makassar U20 comes into this match with a solid recent run, winning three of their last five outings (W, W, L, W, L). They recorded impressive away victories against Persik Kediri U20 (2-0 and 4-0) and a 2-0 home win over Persebaya Surabaya U20. Their only recent defeat came against fellow contender Persebaya Surabaya U20 (1-2).

Madura United U20 has struggled recently, failing to win in four of their last five games (L, L, D, W, D). A heavy 0-3 home loss to Bali United Pusam U20 and a 1-2 away defeat at PSIM Yogyakarta U20 exposed defensive frailties. Their sole victory in that stretch was a 1-0 home win against PSM Makassar U20 on April 26, 2026.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four head-to-head meetings in Liga 1 U20 show a slight edge for Madura United U20 with 2 wins against 1 for PSM Makassar U20, and 1 draw. Madura United U20 won the most recent H2H on April 26, 2026, by a 1-0 scoreline. However, PSM Makassar U20's 4-0 away victory on January 4, 2025, highlights their potential to dominate this fixture. The April 25, 2026, encounter ended in a 1-1 draw.

League Table Positions

While the JSON data does not include a full league table, the form lines suggest PSM Makassar U20 holds a higher position in the Liga 1 U20 standings. Their consistent ability to score multiple goals — netting 9 in the last 5 games — indicates a team near the top. Madura United U20's leaky defense has likely left them mid-table or lower.

Win Probability: PSM Makassar U20 or Madura United U20?

Analyzing the available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities: PSM Makassar U20 has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Madura United U20 has a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best-available bookmaker odds (home 1.36, draw 2.40, away 5.75), adjusted for PSM Makassar U20's superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs. 1 win in 5 for Madura United U20) and the H2H home/away factor. Despite Madura's recent H2H win, the overall data strongly favors a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see PSM Makassar U20 as the clear favorite, offering odds as low as 1.36 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.40, while an away win for Madura United U20 is a long shot at up to 6.50. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a home win for PSM Makassar U20, potentially with under 2.5 goals given the defensive patterns.