| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 | |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb AS de Fes prediction for the Botola match on October 14, 2026 (21:00 kick-off). Maghreb AS de Fes enter this fixture as the in-form side and have a 40% win probability, while Ittihad Tanger have a 22% chance and the draw is at 38%. Bookmakers also see a tight contest with low draw odds.
Ittihad Tangerโs last five results (including friendlies) are L, D, W, W, W. In their most recent league outings, they lost 2-1 away to Kawkab Marrakech, drew 1-1 at home with Moghreb Tetouan, and won 3-1 away at US Amal Tiznit. Their home league record this season reads one draw from one match (1-1 vs Moghreb Tetouan).
Maghreb AS de Fes are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches: D, W, W, D, W. In the Botola they drew 0-0 at home with Raja Casablanca, won 2-1 away at Hassania Agadir, and beat Renaissance Zemamra 2-1 at home. Their away league record is perfect so far โ one win from one game, scoring twice and conceding once.
The overall head-to-head shows 2 home wins, 5 draws, and 1 away win. Recent encounters underline how evenly matched they are:
Four of the last five meetings ended level, so the draw has been a frequent outcome.
Maghreb AS de Fes sit top of the Botola with 7 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw; goals 4โ2). Ittihad Tanger are 6th with 4 points from 3 games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; goals 5โ4). Away from home, Maghreb have taken 3 points from a possible 3; Ittihad have just 1 point from their lone home fixture. The gap and early-season form point to the visitors holding the edge.
Based on odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, the win probabilities are:
The calculation starts from the bookmakersโ average odds (home 3.95, draw 2.17, away 2.41). After removing the margin, the raw probabilities are 22.5%, 40.8%, and 36.8% respectively. However, Maghrebโs superior league position, unbeaten away start, and better recent form of wins against Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Zemamra prompt an adjustment โ raising their chance to 40% and trimming the draw to 38%. The head-to-head draw tendency keeps the stalemate a high-probability option, but Maghreb AS de Fes are the more likely winners.
Bookmakersโ 1X2 odds vary, with home win prices from 3.60 to 4.20, draw odds from 1.88 to 2.88, and away win odds from 2.10 to 2.62. These odds reflect the expectation of a close match where the draw is seen as a strong possibility. Taking all data into account, Maghreb AS de Fes have the highest win probability (40%), but the draw is almost as likely. A low-scoring affair fits the pattern, with both teams likely to find the net given Ittihadโs attacking output at home and Maghrebโs solid away performances. Our prediction is a Maghreb AS de Fes win or a draw, with the away side holding the edge.