Mahdia - US Tataouine prediction 26 October 2026

Tunisia ยท League 2Finished
Mahdia
3:2
FT
US Tataouine
Match Info
CompetitionLeague 2 ยท Tunisia
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Mahdia
W
W
W
L
L
US Tataouine
L
W
D
L
W
Recent matches ยท Mahdia
League 2
Mahdia
US Tataouine
32
W
League 2
Sporting Ben Arous
Mahdia
12
W
Friendly Clubs
Mahdia
US Ksour Essef
30
W
League 2
Mahdia
OC Kerkennah
13
L
League 2
SA Menzel Bourguiba
Mahdia
10
L
League 2
Mahdia
US Tataouine
01
L
League 2
AS Megrine
Mahdia
00
D
League 2
Mahdia
Chebba
11
D
League 2
Agareb
Mahdia
00
D
League 2
Mahdia
Sfax Railways
00
D
Cup
US Ajim Djerba
Mahdia
20
L
League 2
Msaken
Mahdia
20
L
League 2
Mahdia
Bousalem
10
W
League 2
Bouhajla
Mahdia
00
D
League 2
Mahdia
Sporting Ben Arous
11
D
Recent matches ยท US Tataouine
League 2
Mahdia
US Tataouine
32
L
League 2
US Tataouine
OC Kerkennah
10
W
League 2
Sporting Ben Arous
US Tataouine
22
D
League 2
Stade Gabesien
US Tataouine
20
L
League 2
Bouhajla
US Tataouine
01
W
League 2
US Tataouine
Sporting Ben Arous
10
W
League 2
Mahdia
US Tataouine
01
W
League 2
US Tataouine
Club Hammam-Lif
12
L
League 2
OC Kerkennah
US Tataouine
00
D
League 2
US Tataouine
SA Menzel Bourguiba
30
W
League 2
Hammam-Sousse
US Tataouine
20
L
League 2
AS Megrine
US Tataouine
01
W
League 2
US Tataouine
Chebba
21
W
League 2
Agareb
US Tataouine
21
L
League 2
US Tataouine
Sfax Railways
11
D
Head-to-Head ยท summary
1
Mahdia
1
Draws
2
US Tataouine
Previous meetings
League 2
Mahdia
US Tataouine
32
League 2
Mahdia
US Tataouine
01
League 2
US Tataouine
Mahdia
00
Cup
US Tataouine
Mahdia
31
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Kasserine44007:1+612
2Msaken53208:4+411
3Mahdia532010:7+311
4AS Megrine53118:5+310
5Bouchamma53115:5010
6CS Korba43016:2+49
7AS Slimane522111:7+48
8Sporting Ben Arous52217:4+38
9US Ksour Essef42202:0+28
10Stade Soussien52126:5+17
11Jendouba Sport42113:2+17
12Chebba52125:6-17
13US Tataouine52127:9-27
14CS Redeyef42026:2+46
15Kalaa Sport52035:506
16Sfax Railways51314:406
17JS Kairouanaise42022:206
18Ariana41213:2+15
19Stade Gabesien41213:305
20Bรฉni-Khalled51223:4-15
21Bouhajla51222:5-35
22Olympique du Kef41124:5-14
23OC Kerkennah51133:5-24
24EGS Gafsa41036:8-23
25Agareb50323:8-53
26AS Gabes50143:7-41
27Moknine40130:7-71
28Olympique de Medenine40041:9-80
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Mahdia vs US Tataouine Prediction (Oct 26)

The Mahdia vs US Tataouine prediction for their Tunisia League 2 clash on October 26 is a close contest. The match kicks off at 13:30, and based on the stats, Mahdia has a 43% win probability, the draw is at 30%, while US Tataouine has a 27% chance. This analysis covers team form, head-to-head, and odds for your betting tips.

Team Form

Mahdia's recent form is mixed, with results reading W, W, L, L, L in their last five outings. In their most recent match, they beat Sporting Ben Arous 2-1 away on Sep 26. At home, they beat US Ksour Essef 3-0 in a friendly on Sep 10 but lost 1-3 to OC Kerkennah in May. Inconsistency is their main issue.

US Tataouine arrives in better shape with form of W, D, L, W, W. They won 1-0 against OC Kerkennah on Oct 18 and drew 2-2 away at Sporting Ben Arous on Oct 11. Two clean-sheet wins in their last five show defensive improvement, which could be key.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record favours US Tataouine: in the last three meetings, Mahdia has 0 wins, 1 draw, and US Tataouine has 2 wins. Their most recent League 2 match was on Apr 27, 2026, when US Tataouine won 1-0 at Mahdia's ground. Before that, they played a 0-0 draw at US Tataouine in November 2025. The only Cup meeting back in 2022 also went to US Tataouine, 3-1.

League Table Positions

In the League 2 overall standings, Mahdia sit 4th with 8 points from 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), scoring 7 and conceding 5. US Tataouine are 9th with 7 points from 4 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 5 and conceding 6. At home, Mahdia rank 6th with 4 points, while US Tataouine's away form shows 1 draw from 2 games, placing them 8th in the away table.

Win Probability: Mahdia or US Tataouine?

Based on the odds, recent form, and H2H record, Mahdia has a 43% chance of winning. The draw has a 30% probability, and US Tataouine has a 27% win probability. The odds imply a close match; the home advantage boosts Mahdia's chances slightly, but US Tataouine's superior H2H record (2 wins in 3 games) keeps their win probability competitive.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market range from 3.25โ€“3.20 for a Mahdia win, 1.91โ€“1.93 for the draw, and 3.30โ€“3.50 for a US Tataouine victory. One odds provider offers 2.45 for a home win and 2.80 for an away win, with a draw at 2.88. The odds present the draw as the most likely outcome, but Mahdia's unbeaten league start makes them a marginal favourite. Based on the stats, a low-scoring draw is a strong possibility.

Mahdia vs US Tataouine โ€” FAQ

Who will win Mahdia vs US Tataouine?
Based on the data, Mahdia has a 43% chance of winning, US Tataouine is at 27%, and the draw is at 30%. Mahdia's home advantage gives them the edge, but US Tataouine's strong head-to-head record makes the match very open.
What is the win probability for Mahdia?
Mahdia's win probability is 43%. This calculation uses the bookmakers' odds, adjusted for their 4th-place league position (2W, 2D, 0L) and home advantage, but weighed down by their recent inconsistent form (W-W-L-L-L).
When is the Mahdia vs US Tataouine match?
The match is on October 26, 2026, with a 13:30 kick-off time. It is a Tunisia League 2 fixture being played at Mahdia's home ground.
What are the odds for Mahdia vs US Tataouine?
1X2 odds include a Mahdia win at 3.25, a draw at 1.91, and a US Tataouine win at 3.30 from one bookmaker. Other providers list the home win at 2.45, the draw around 2.82โ€“2.88, and the away win at 2.80.
Mahdia โ€“ US Tataouine ยท match page