Malacateco - Guastatoya prediction 11 October 2026

Malacateco vs Guastatoya prediction for the Liga Nacional match on October 11, 2026. The game kicks off at 02:00 local time and Guastatoya come into it as the clear favorite with a 45% win probability, while Malacateco have only a 25% chance and a draw is rated at 30%.

Team Form

Malacateco’s recent form is poor: they have managed just one win in their last five matches (W1 D1 L3). Their last five results are a 0-2 loss at Coban Imperial, a 0-1 loss at Marquense, a 1-0 home win over Deportivo Mixco, a 2-2 draw at CSD Municipal, and a 0-2 home defeat to Antigua GFC. They have failed to score in three of those five games and have conceded multiple goals in three as well.

Guastatoya are flying high with four wins and one draw from their last five outings (W4 D1). Their recent results: a 2-1 home win against Aurora FC, a 2-1 home win over Deportivo San Pedro, a 2-1 away victory at CSD Comunicaciones, another 2-1 home win against Xelaju, and a 1-1 away draw with Suchitepequez. Notably, Guastatoya have scored exactly two goals in each of their four wins.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met seven times in the Liga Nacional. Malacateco have won 3, Guastatoya have won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent meeting was on August 2, 2026, where Guastatoya triumphed 4-0 at home. Before that, Malacateco won 1-0 at home in April 2026, and they drew 1-1 at Guastatoya in February 2026. At this stadium, Malacateco have a slight historical edge, but Guastatoya did win 1-0 here in October 2025.

Win Probability: Malacateco or Guastatoya?

Taking into account the team form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage, the win probabilities are: Malacateco 25%, Draw 30%, Guastatoya 45%. Guastatoya’s excellent form—four wins in five with a consistent scoring record—outweighs Malacateco’s recent struggles and the fairly even head-to-head history. The draw also has a solid chance given that two of the last seven meetings ended level. Overall, Guastatoya are the most likely winner.

Malacateco vs Guastatoya Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers’ odds for this match are not currently available. Based on the stats and form analysis, the prediction is a Guastatoya victory. For betting tips, a straightforward win for Guastatoya offers value considering their momentum and Malacateco’s lack of clean sheets. However, always check the latest team news closer to kick-off.